--- title: "Krabby's 10% m4 case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Krabby's 10% m4 ($17.89) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.35% over 127 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/krabbys-10percent-m4 rendered: 2026-11-13T03:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Krabby's 10% m4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/krabbys-10percent-m4) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Krabby's 10% m4 A case on Clash.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/krabbys-10percent-m4?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/krabbys-10percent-m4?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/krabbys-10percent-m4) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/krabbys-10percent-m4?window=all) Price · $17.89 · 27.52 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.35% · 127 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 121 openings · below min 30 days · 127 openings · below min since tracking started · 127 openings · below min 11.5% 93.3% 175.0% **Small sample.** 127 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/krabbys-10percent-m4?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/krabbys-10percent-m4?window=7d) | 121 | 93.49% ±81.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/krabbys-10percent-m4) | 127 | 89.35% ±77.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/krabbys-10percent-m4?window=all) | 127 | 89.35% ±77.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) Hidden $17.89 27.52 gems $857 1,318 gems 47.90x 2026-11-11 20:03 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=krabbys-10percent-m4) [Souvenir M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-urban-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $17.89 27.52 gems $84.46 130 gems 4.72x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-factory-new) Hidden $17.89 27.52 gems $1.05 1.62 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $17.89 27.52 gems $15.41 23.7 gems 0.86x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-factory-new) Hidden $17.89 27.52 gems $1.05 1.62 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-factory-new) Hidden $17.89 27.52 gems $1.05 1.62 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-factory-new) [mummo](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/mummo) $17.89 27.52 gems $1.05 1.62 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-factory-new) Hidden $17.89 27.52 gems $1.05 1.62 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) Hidden $17.89 27.52 gems $857 1,318 gems 47.90x 2026-11-11 20:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-factory-new) Hidden $17.89 27.52 gems $1.05 1.62 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-factory-new) Hidden $17.89 27.52 gems $1.05 1.62 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 20:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $857 (47.90x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.35 on average: an expected loss of $10.65 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt