--- title: "Last Resort case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Last Resort ($124.87) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 80.07% over 395 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/last-resort rendered: 2026-11-11T19:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Last Resort](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/last-resort) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Last Resort A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/last-resort?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/last-resort?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/last-resort) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/last-resort?window=all) Price · $124.87 · 192 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $112.39 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 80.07% · 395 openings, odds method Variance · 6.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 48 openings · below min 7 days · 87.36% ±27.02 361 openings 30 days · 80.07% ±25.83 395 openings since tracking started · 80.07% ±25.83 395 openings 19.0% 93.8% 168.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/last-resort?window=24h) | 48 | 93.79% ±74.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/last-resort?window=7d) | 361 | 87.36% ±27.0 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/last-resort) | 395 | 80.07% ±25.8 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/last-resort?window=all) | 395 | 80.07% ±25.8 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 425 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1,094 1,682 gems | 97.3% | 40 | 42.5 | 0.94× | | [MAG-7 \| Justice (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-factory-new) | 10.0% | $6.40 9.85 gems | 0.6% | 51 | 42.5 | 1.20× | | [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) | 10.0% | $5.28 8.12 gems | 0.5% | 48 | 42.5 | 1.13× | | [MAC-10 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 10.0% | $4.98 7.66 gems | 0.4% | 36 | 42.5 | 0.85× | | [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-factory-new) | 10.0% | $4.26 6.55 gems | 0.4% | 42 | 42.5 | 0.99× | | [AUG \| Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) | 10.0% | $3.31 5.09 gems | 0.3% | 38 | 42.5 | 0.89× | | [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-factory-new) | 20.0% | $2.48 3.81 gems | 0.4% | 85 | 85.0 | 1.00× | | [Five-SeveN \| Silver Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.55 0.85 gems | 0.1% | 85 | 85.0 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $125 192 gems $1,094 1,682 gems 8.76x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [everythingroi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/everythingroi) $125 192 gems $1,094 1,682 gems 8.76x 2026-11-11 17:27 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $125 192 gems $1,094 1,682 gems 8.76x 2026-11-11 17:27 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $125 192 gems $1,094 1,682 gems 8.76x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $125 192 gems $1,094 1,682 gems 8.76x 2026-11-10 20:40 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [Live kick/vaultycs](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Live%20kick%2Fvaultycs) $125 192 gems $1,094 1,682 gems 8.76x 2026-11-10 19:52 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $125 192 gems $1,094 1,682 gems 8.76x 2026-11-10 19:43 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $125 192 gems $1,094 1,682 gems 8.76x 2026-11-10 15:03 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [Bo.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Bo.com) $125 192 gems $1,094 1,682 gems 8.76x 2026-11-10 08:09 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $125 192 gems $1,094 1,682 gems 8.76x 2026-11-09 15:32 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=last-resort) [MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-factory-new) Hidden $125 192 gems $6.40 9.85 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:58 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) Hidden $125 192 gems $5.28 8.12 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:58 UTC [FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) Hidden $125 192 gems $5.28 8.12 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:58 UTC [MAG-7 | Justice (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-factory-new) Hidden $125 192 gems $6.40 9.85 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:58 UTC [MAC-10 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-factory-new) Hidden $125 192 gems $4.98 7.66 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:58 UTC [PP-Bizon | Embargo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-factory-new) [HayzeusC](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/HayzeusC) $125 192 gems $2.48 3.81 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:58 UTC [AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) Hidden $125 192 gems $3.31 5.09 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-factory-new) Hidden $125 192 gems $0.55 0.85 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $125 192 gems $1,094 1,682 gems 8.76x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-factory-new) Hidden $125 192 gems $4.26 6.55 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $125 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 10.0% classified 20.0% mil spec 30.0% covert 20.0% restricted 20.0% best hit $1,094 (8.76x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt