--- title: "Leone's 15% AWP case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Leone's 15% AWP ($6.58) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 32.04% over 93 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/leones-15percent-awp rendered: 2026-11-12T08:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Leone's 15% AWP](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/leones-15percent-awp) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Leone's 15% AWP A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/leones-15percent-awp?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/leones-15percent-awp?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/leones-15percent-awp) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/leones-15percent-awp?window=all) Price · $6.58 · 10.13 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 32.04% · 93 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 36 openings · below min 7 days · 66 openings · below min 30 days · 93 openings · below min since tracking started · 93 openings · below min 15.0% 45.0% 75.0% **Small sample.** 93 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/leones-15percent-awp?window=24h) | 36 | 46.25% ±28.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/leones-15percent-awp?window=7d) | 66 | 41.76% ±21.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/leones-15percent-awp) | 93 | 32.04% ±16.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/leones-15percent-awp?window=all) | 93 | 32.04% ±16.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=leones-15percent-awp) [Sticker | 00 Nation | Rio 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-00-nation-rio-2022) Hidden $6.58 10.13 gems $0.10 0.16 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 05:09 UTC [Sticker | 00 Nation | Rio 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-00-nation-rio-2022) Hidden $6.58 10.13 gems $0.10 0.16 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 05:09 UTC [AWP | Sun in Leo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-factory-new) Hidden $6.58 10.13 gems $12.01 18.48 gems 1.82x 2026-11-12 05:09 UTC [AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-field-tested) Hidden $6.58 10.13 gems $6.65 10.23 gems 1.01x 2026-11-12 05:09 UTC [Sticker | 00 Nation | Rio 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-00-nation-rio-2022) Hidden $6.58 10.13 gems $0.10 0.16 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 05:09 UTC [Sticker | 00 Nation | Rio 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-00-nation-rio-2022) [Smeef](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Smeef) $6.58 10.13 gems $0.10 0.16 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 05:09 UTC [Sticker | 00 Nation | Rio 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-00-nation-rio-2022) Hidden $6.58 10.13 gems $0.10 0.16 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 05:08 UTC [Sticker | 00 Nation | Rio 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-00-nation-rio-2022) Hidden $6.58 10.13 gems $0.10 0.16 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 05:08 UTC [Sticker | 00 Nation | Rio 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-00-nation-rio-2022) Hidden $6.58 10.13 gems $0.10 0.16 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 05:08 UTC [Sticker | 00 Nation | Rio 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-00-nation-rio-2022) Hidden $6.58 10.13 gems $0.10 0.16 gems 0.02x 2026-11-12 05:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 32.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $32.04 on average: an expected loss of $67.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt