---
title: "Level 40 Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Level 40 Case ($0.00) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/level-40-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Level 40 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/level-40-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Level 40 Case

A case on Clash.gg (level), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/level-40-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/level-40-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/level-40-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/level-40-case?window=all)

Price · $0.00 · 0 gems

Advertised RTP · —

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/level-40-case?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/level-40-case?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/level-40-case) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/level-40-case?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $231 355 gems | 14.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 625 | $39.00 60 gems | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $10.98 16.89 gems | 17.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $4.39 6.75 gems | 13.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $1.85 2.85 gems | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Valence (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $1.29 1.98 gems | 9.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Negev \| Bratatat (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bratatat-well-worn) | 20.0% | $0.60 0.93 gems | 18.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 69.0% | $0.07 0.11 gems | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=level-40-case)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $0 | — | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% covert knife 0.2% classified 1.0% restricted 6.8% red 3.0% milspec 20.0% industrial 69.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** Every case pays out less than it costs on average; the rare items carry most of the advertised value and most openings return a fraction of the price. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt