--- title: "Light in the Dark case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Light in the Dark ($14.18) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 8 items with odds, observed 85.03% over 1,998 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/light-in-the-dark rendered: 2026-11-11T21:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Light in the Dark](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/light-in-the-dark) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Light in the Dark A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/light-in-the-dark?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/light-in-the-dark?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/light-in-the-dark) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/light-in-the-dark?window=all) Price · $14.18 · 21.82 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $12.76 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.03% · 1,998 openings, odds method Variance · 7.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 86.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 89.91% ±32.91 252 openings 7 days · 86.90% ±12.52 1,742 openings 30 days · 85.03% ±11.69 1,998 openings since tracking started · 85.03% ±11.69 1,998 openings 56.5% 90.0% 123.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/light-in-the-dark?window=24h) | 252 | 89.91% ±32.9 | −0.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/light-in-the-dark?window=7d) | 1,742 | 86.90% ±12.5 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/light-in-the-dark) | 1,998 | 85.03% ±11.7 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/light-in-the-dark?window=all) | 1,998 | 85.03% ±11.7 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,055 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $466 716 gems | 18.2% | 9 | 10.3 | 0.88× | | [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $130 199 gems | 15.2% | 28 | 30.8 | 0.91× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $60.64 93.29 gems | 14.3% | 52 | 61.6 | 0.84× | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $49.48 76.12 gems | 11.6% | 57 | 61.6 | 0.92× | | [Desert Eagle \| Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $36.49 56.14 gems | 8.6% | 69 | 61.6 | 1.12× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $21.78 33.5 gems | 5.1% | 59 | 61.6 | 0.96× | | [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) | 36.0% | $6.57 10.1 gems | 18.5% | 749 | 739.8 | 1.01× | | [MAG-7 \| Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-carbon-fiber-factory-new) | 50.0% | $2.15 3.31 gems | 8.4% | 1,032 | 1027.5 | 1.00× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=light-in-the-dark) [MAG-7 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-carbon-fiber-factory-new) Hidden $14.18 21.82 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [MAG-7 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-carbon-fiber-factory-new) Hidden $14.18 21.82 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [MAG-7 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-carbon-fiber-factory-new) Hidden $14.18 21.82 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $14.18 21.82 gems $60.64 93.29 gems 4.28x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [MAG-7 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-carbon-fiber-factory-new) Hidden $14.18 21.82 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) [Issey](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Issey) $14.18 21.82 gems $6.57 10.1 gems 0.46x 2026-11-11 21:01 UTC [M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) Hidden $14.18 21.82 gems $6.57 10.1 gems 0.46x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC [MAG-7 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-carbon-fiber-factory-new) Hidden $14.18 21.82 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC [MAG-7 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-carbon-fiber-factory-new) Hidden $14.18 21.82 gems $2.15 3.31 gems 0.15x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC [M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) Hidden $14.18 21.82 gems $6.57 10.1 gems 0.46x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $14.18 | 89.99% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #eb4b4b 0.5% red 1.5% Classified 3.0% classified 3.0% industrial 3.0% restricted 39.0% Uncommon 50.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt