--- title: "Lil Degen Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Lil Degen Case ($2.38) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 55.33% over 6 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lil-degen-case rendered: 2026-11-11T20:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Lil Degen Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lil-degen-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Lil Degen Case A case on Clash.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lil-degen-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lil-degen-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lil-degen-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lil-degen-case?window=all) Price · $2.38 · 3.66 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 55.33% · 6 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 76.5% 153.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lil-degen-case?window=24h) | 6 | 55.33% ±97.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lil-degen-case?window=7d) | 6 | 55.33% ±97.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lil-degen-case) | 6 | 55.33% ±97.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lil-degen-case?window=all) | 6 | 55.33% ±97.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=lil-degen-case) [P250 | Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.38 3.66 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [Sticker | Baited sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited) Hidden $2.38 3.66 gems $0.16 0.24 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [Sticker | Baited sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited) Hidden $2.38 3.66 gems $0.16 0.24 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [Sticker | Baited sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited) Hidden $2.38 3.66 gems $0.16 0.24 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [Sticker | Baited sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baited) Hidden $2.38 3.66 gems $0.16 0.24 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [Galil AR | Shattered (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-shattered-factory-new) [M1206\_LockeR](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/M1206_LockeR) $2.38 3.66 gems $7.23 11.12 gems 3.04x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 55.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $55.33 on average: an expected loss of $44.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt