--- title: "LokiLuck case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "LokiLuck ($9.20) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 189.45% over 73 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lokiluck rendered: 2026-11-12T04:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [LokiLuck](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lokiluck) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · LokiLuck A case on Clash.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lokiluck?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lokiluck?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lokiluck) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lokiluck?window=all) Price · $9.20 · 14.15 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 189.45% · 73 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 67 openings · below min 30 days · 73 openings · below min since tracking started · 73 openings · below min -0.5% 239.3% 479.0% **Small sample.** 73 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lokiluck?window=24h) | 18 | 78.36% ±77.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lokiluck?window=7d) | 67 | 205.61% ±272.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lokiluck) | 73 | 189.45% ±250.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lokiluck?window=all) | 73 | 189.45% ±250.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-field-tested) Hidden $9.20 14.15 gems $857 1,318 gems 93.17x 2026-11-07 09:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=lokiluck) [Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ace-clutch-co-holo) Hidden $9.20 14.15 gems $0.83 1.27 gems 0.09x 2026-11-12 03:29 UTC [Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ace-clutch-co-holo) Hidden $9.20 14.15 gems $0.83 1.27 gems 0.09x 2026-11-12 03:29 UTC [Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ace-clutch-co-holo) Hidden $9.20 14.15 gems $0.83 1.27 gems 0.09x 2026-11-12 03:29 UTC [Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ace-clutch-co-holo) Hidden $9.20 14.15 gems $0.83 1.27 gems 0.09x 2026-11-12 03:29 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.20 14.15 gems $4.16 6.4 gems 0.45x 2026-11-12 03:29 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) [Punk Star](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Punk%20Star) $9.20 14.15 gems $54.78 84.27 gems 5.96x 2026-11-12 03:29 UTC [Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ace-clutch-co-holo) Hidden $9.20 14.15 gems $0.83 1.27 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ace-clutch-co-holo) Hidden $9.20 14.15 gems $0.83 1.27 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ace-clutch-co-holo) [Muffel](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Muffel) $9.20 14.15 gems $0.83 1.27 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [Sticker | Ace Clutch Co. (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ace-clutch-co-holo) Hidden $9.20 14.15 gems $0.83 1.27 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $857 (93.17x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 189.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $189.45 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt