--- title: "Lord of War case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Lord of War ($133.87) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 94.74% over 179 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lord-of-war rendered: 2026-11-12T12:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Lord of War](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lord-of-war) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Lord of War A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lord-of-war?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lord-of-war?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lord-of-war) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lord-of-war?window=all) Price · $133.87 · 206 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $120.49 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.74% · 179 openings, odds method Variance · 2.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 88.33% ±27.61 145 openings 30 days · 94.74% ±24.85 179 openings since tracking started · 94.74% ±24.85 179 openings 60.0% 90.0% 120.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lord-of-war?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lord-of-war?window=7d) | 145 | 88.33% ±27.6 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lord-of-war) | 179 | 94.74% ±24.8 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lord-of-war?window=all) | 179 | 94.74% ±24.8 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 179 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $1,165 1,793 gems | 24.2% | 3 | 4.5 | 0.67× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $924 1,422 gems | 19.2% | 8 | 4.5 | 1.79× | | [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) | 15.0% | $219 337 gems | 27.3% | 27 | 26.8 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 10.0% | $165 254 gems | 13.7% | 14 | 17.9 | 0.78× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) | 10.0% | $65.76 101 gems | 5.5% | 24 | 17.9 | 1.34× | | [MAC-10 \| Copper Borre (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-factory-new) | 10.0% | $41.54 63.91 gems | 3.4% | 18 | 17.9 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $40.16 61.79 gems | 3.3% | 13 | 17.9 | 0.73× | | [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) | 10.0% | $22.81 35.09 gems | 1.9% | 18 | 17.9 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) | 15.0% | $7.58 11.66 gems | 0.9% | 26 | 26.8 | 0.97× | | [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Gold Bismuth (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-gold-bismuth-factory-new) | 15.0% | $4.38 6.74 gems | 0.5% | 28 | 26.9 | 1.04× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 06:20 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $134 206 gems $1,165 1,793 gems 8.70x 2026-11-10 08:58 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) [Armands Miesnieks](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Armands%20Miesnieks) $134 206 gems $1,165 1,793 gems 8.70x 2026-11-10 08:57 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $134 206 gems $1,165 1,793 gems 8.70x 2026-11-03 06:26 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $134 206 gems $924 1,422 gems 6.90x 2026-11-10 08:58 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $134 206 gems $924 1,422 gems 6.90x 2026-11-10 08:57 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $134 206 gems $924 1,422 gems 6.90x 2026-11-09 16:46 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-lore-factory-new) [Energetic Ferret](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Energetic%20Ferret) $134 206 gems $924 1,422 gems 6.90x 2026-11-07 19:33 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-lore-factory-new) [Vixxy](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Vixxy) $134 206 gems $924 1,422 gems 6.90x 2026-11-07 07:36 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $134 206 gems $924 1,422 gems 6.90x 2026-11-07 07:35 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $134 206 gems $924 1,422 gems 6.90x 2026-11-03 09:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=lord-of-war) [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) Hidden $134 206 gems $65.76 101 gems 0.49x 2026-11-11 03:45 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) Hidden $134 206 gems $65.76 101 gems 0.49x 2026-11-11 03:45 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-golden-koi-factory-new) Hidden $134 206 gems $65.76 101 gems 0.49x 2026-11-11 03:45 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) Hidden $134 206 gems $165 254 gems 1.23x 2026-11-11 03:45 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-gold-bismuth-factory-new) Hidden $134 206 gems $4.38 6.74 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 03:45 UTC [MAC-10 | Copper Borre (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-factory-new) [Dingus](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Dingus) $134 206 gems $41.54 63.91 gems 0.31x 2026-11-11 03:45 UTC [AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) Hidden $134 206 gems $219 337 gems 1.64x 2026-11-11 03:43 UTC [StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-gold-bismuth-factory-new) Hidden $134 206 gems $4.38 6.74 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 03:43 UTC [AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) Hidden $134 206 gems $219 337 gems 1.64x 2026-11-11 03:43 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) Hidden $134 206 gems $165 254 gems 1.23x 2026-11-11 03:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $134 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 35.0% classified 15.0% mil spec 10.0% restricted 40.0% best hit $1,165 (8.70x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt