--- title: "LoreFlip case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "LoreFlip ($2,593.24) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 40.48% over 58 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/loreflip rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [LoreFlip](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/loreflip) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · LoreFlip A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/loreflip?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/loreflip?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/loreflip) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/loreflip?window=all) Price · $2,593.24 · 3,990 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $2,333.89 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 40.48% · 58 openings, odds method Variance · 5.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 52 openings · below min 30 days · 58 openings · below min since tracking started · 58 openings · below min -0.5% 54.0% 108.5% **Small sample.** 58 openings and 2.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/loreflip?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/loreflip?window=7d) | 52 | 41.70% ±66.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/loreflip) | 58 | 40.48% ±62.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/loreflip?window=all) | 58 | 40.48% ±62.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 58 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $29K 44,570 gems | 62.1% | 0 | 2.9 | 0.00× | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $6,742 10,373 gems | 14.4% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.38× | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $2,429 3,737 gems | 10.4% | 6 | 5.8 | 1.03× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1,291 1,986 gems | 5.5% | 5 | 5.8 | 0.86× | | [★ Karambit \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $774 1,190 gems | 6.6% | 15 | 11.6 | 1.29× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 25.0% | $84.62 130 gems | 0.9% | 15 | 14.5 | 1.03× | | [P2000 \| Panther Camo (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-factory-new) | 25.0% | $1.51 2.33 gems | 0.0% | 13 | 14.5 | 0.90× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $6,742 10,373 gems 2.60x 2026-11-08 13:32 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $6,742 10,373 gems 2.60x 2026-11-06 12:57 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $6,742 10,373 gems 2.60x 2026-11-06 12:57 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $6,742 10,373 gems 2.60x 2026-11-06 12:57 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $2,429 3,737 gems 0.94x 2026-11-06 12:57 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $2,429 3,737 gems 0.94x 2026-11-05 23:29 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $2,429 3,737 gems 0.94x 2026-11-05 23:29 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $2,429 3,737 gems 0.94x 2026-11-04 14:48 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $2,429 3,737 gems 0.94x 2026-11-04 14:48 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $2,429 3,737 gems 0.94x 2026-11-03 23:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=loreflip) [★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $84.62 130 gems 0.03x 2026-11-08 13:32 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $6,742 10,373 gems 2.60x 2026-11-08 13:32 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $84.62 130 gems 0.03x 2026-11-08 13:32 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $1,291 1,986 gems 0.50x 2026-11-08 13:32 UTC [P2000 | Panther Camo (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-panther-camo-factory-new) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $1.51 2.33 gems 0.00x 2026-11-08 13:32 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) [Chuck](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Chuck) $2,593 3,990 gems $84.62 130 gems 0.03x 2026-11-08 13:32 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $2,429 3,737 gems 0.94x 2026-11-06 12:57 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $84.62 130 gems 0.03x 2026-11-06 12:57 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $1,291 1,986 gems 0.50x 2026-11-06 12:57 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $2,593 3,990 gems $6,742 10,373 gems 2.60x 2026-11-06 12:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $2,593 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 75.0% #87c7ff 25.0% best hit $6,742 (2.60x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt