--- title: "lucky-doba case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "lucky-doba ($1.10) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 73.05% over 518 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lucky-doba rendered: 2026-11-13T19:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [lucky-doba](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lucky-doba) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · lucky-doba A case on Clash.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lucky-doba?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lucky-doba?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lucky-doba) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lucky-doba?window=all) Price · $1.10 · 1.69 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 73.05% · 518 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 2 openings · below min 7 days · 510 openings · below min 30 days · 518 openings · below min since tracking started · 518 openings · below min -0.5% 48.8% 98.0% **Small sample.** 518 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lucky-doba?window=24h) | 2 | 0.00% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lucky-doba?window=7d) | 510 | 73.15% ±24.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lucky-doba) | 518 | 73.05% ±23.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/lucky-doba?window=all) | 518 | 73.05% ±23.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=lucky-doba) [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [rod\*\*\*oll](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/rod***oll-1786095) $1.10 1.69 gems $0 0 gems 0.00x 2026-11-13 05:42 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [rod\*\*\*oll](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/rod***oll-1786095) $1.10 1.69 gems $0 0 gems 0.00x 2026-11-13 05:42 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.10 1.69 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 17:20 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.10 1.69 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 17:20 UTC ['The Doctor' Romanov | Sabre agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-doctor-romanov-sabre) Hidden $1.10 1.69 gems $2.38 3.66 gems 2.17x 2026-11-12 17:20 UTC [P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) Hidden $1.10 1.69 gems $27.51 42.32 gems 25.04x 2026-11-12 17:20 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.10 1.69 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 17:20 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [Bhanchod](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Bhanchod) $1.10 1.69 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 17:20 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.10 1.69 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.01x 2026-11-12 17:20 UTC [Sticker | fame (Gold) | Rio 2022 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-gold-rio-2022) Hidden $1.10 1.69 gems $4.02 6.18 gems 3.66x 2026-11-12 17:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 73.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $73.05 on average: an expected loss of $26.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt