--- title: "LUCKYBOYYYYYY case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "LUCKYBOYYYYYY ($43.31) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 96.79% over 30 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/luckyboyyyyyy rendered: 2026-11-12T14:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [LUCKYBOYYYYYY](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/luckyboyyyyyy) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · LUCKYBOYYYYYY A case on Clash.gg, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/luckyboyyyyyy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/luckyboyyyyyy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/luckyboyyyyyy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/luckyboyyyyyy?window=all) Price · $43.31 · 66.63 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 96.79% · 30 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 30 openings · below min 30 days · 30 openings · below min since tracking started · 30 openings · below min -0.5% 140.3% 281.0% **Small sample.** 30 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/luckyboyyyyyy?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/luckyboyyyyyy?window=7d) | 30 | 96.79% ±183.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/luckyboyyyyyy) | 30 | 96.79% ±183.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/luckyboyyyyyy?window=all) | 30 | 96.79% ±183.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) [Sanemi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sanemi) $43.31 66.63 gems $1,219 1,876 gems 28.15x 2026-11-08 06:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=luckyboyyyyyy) [MP7 | Tall Grass (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-factory-new) Hidden $43.31 66.63 gems $1.32 2.03 gems 0.03x 2026-11-08 06:46 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-factory-new) Hidden $43.31 66.63 gems $1.32 2.03 gems 0.03x 2026-11-08 06:46 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-factory-new) Hidden $43.31 66.63 gems $1.32 2.03 gems 0.03x 2026-11-08 06:46 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-factory-new) Hidden $43.31 66.63 gems $1.32 2.03 gems 0.03x 2026-11-08 06:46 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-factory-new) Hidden $43.31 66.63 gems $1.32 2.03 gems 0.03x 2026-11-08 06:46 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-factory-new) [Sanemi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Sanemi) $43.31 66.63 gems $1.32 2.03 gems 0.03x 2026-11-08 06:46 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-factory-new) Hidden $43.31 66.63 gems $1.32 2.03 gems 0.03x 2026-11-08 06:44 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-factory-new) Hidden $43.31 66.63 gems $1.32 2.03 gems 0.03x 2026-11-08 06:44 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-factory-new) Hidden $43.31 66.63 gems $1.32 2.03 gems 0.03x 2026-11-08 06:44 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-factory-new) Hidden $43.31 66.63 gems $1.32 2.03 gems 0.03x 2026-11-08 06:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,219 (28.15x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 96.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $96.79 on average: an expected loss of $3.21 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt