--- title: "m0E case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "m0E ($756.67) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 110.70% over 18 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/m0e rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [m0E](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/m0e) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · m0E A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/m0e?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/m0e?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/m0e) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/m0e?window=all) Price · $756.67 · 1,164 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $681.00 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 110.70% · 18 openings, odds method Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min 5.5% 148.5% 291.5% **Small sample.** 18 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/m0e?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/m0e?window=7d) | 12 | 162.85% ±128.1 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/m0e) | 18 | 110.70% ±104.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/m0e?window=all) | 18 | 110.70% ±104.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $7,699 11,845 gems | 56.5% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 15.0% | $1,692 2,603 gems | 37.3% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.48× | | [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-factory-new) | 15.0% | $157 241 gems | 3.5% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 15.0% | $93.59 144 gems | 2.1% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.48× | | [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 15.0% | $16.15 24.84 gems | 0.4% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.11× | | [P250 \| Visions (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-factory-new) | 15.0% | $8.71 13.4 gems | 0.2% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.74× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 15.0% | $5.49 8.45 gems | 0.1% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.74× | | [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2.52 3.88 gems | 0.0% | 1 | 0.9 | — | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $757 1,164 gems $7,699 11,845 gems 10.18x 2026-11-10 12:41 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $757 1,164 gems $1,692 2,603 gems 2.24x 2026-11-10 12:41 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $757 1,164 gems $1,692 2,603 gems 2.24x 2026-11-10 12:41 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [Palm Beach Pete](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Palm%20Beach%20Pete) $757 1,164 gems $1,692 2,603 gems 2.24x 2026-11-09 11:23 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $757 1,164 gems $1,692 2,603 gems 2.24x 2026-11-09 11:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=m0e) [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $757 1,164 gems $1,692 2,603 gems 2.24x 2026-11-10 12:41 UTC [P250 | Visions (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-factory-new) Hidden $757 1,164 gems $8.71 13.4 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 12:41 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $757 1,164 gems $7,699 11,845 gems 10.18x 2026-11-10 12:41 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $757 1,164 gems $1,692 2,603 gems 2.24x 2026-11-10 12:41 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $757 1,164 gems $93.59 144 gems 0.12x 2026-11-10 12:41 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) [1010010101](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/1010010101) $757 1,164 gems $93.59 144 gems 0.12x 2026-11-10 12:41 UTC [UMP-45 | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $757 1,164 gems $16.15 24.84 gems 0.02x 2026-11-09 11:23 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $757 1,164 gems $1,692 2,603 gems 2.24x 2026-11-09 11:23 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) Hidden $757 1,164 gems $5.49 8.45 gems 0.01x 2026-11-09 11:23 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $757 1,164 gems $93.59 144 gems 0.12x 2026-11-09 11:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $757 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 5.0% covert 30.0% Classified 15.0% mil spec 15.0% #d32ee6 15.0% classified 15.0% restricted 5.0% best hit $7,699 (10.18x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt