--- title: "Magnetic case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Magnetic ($27.29) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 7 items with odds, observed 78.16% over 671 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/magnetic rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Magnetic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/magnetic) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Magnetic A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/magnetic?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/magnetic?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/magnetic) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/magnetic?window=all) Price · $27.29 · 41.99 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $24.56 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.16% · 671 openings, odds method Variance · 6.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 104 openings · below min 7 days · 76.09% ±20.57 613 openings 30 days · 78.16% ±19.66 671 openings since tracking started · 78.16% ±19.66 671 openings 9.5% 60.0% 110.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/magnetic?window=24h) | 104 | 59.92% ±49.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/magnetic?window=7d) | 613 | 76.09% ±20.6 | −1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/magnetic) | 671 | 78.16% ±19.7 | −1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/magnetic?window=all) | 671 | 78.16% ±19.7 | −1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 722 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Talon Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $416 639 gems | 50.8% | 16 | 21.7 | 0.74× | | [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $41.15 63.31 gems | 20.1% | 93 | 86.6 | 1.07× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) | 15.0% | $40.38 62.12 gems | 24.7% | 109 | 108.3 | 1.01× | | [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) | 15.0% | $4.80 7.38 gems | 2.9% | 115 | 108.3 | 1.06× | | [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.75 1.15 gems | 0.5% | 94 | 108.3 | 0.87× | | [USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.68 1.05 gems | 0.6% | 153 | 144.4 | 1.06× | | [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.64 0.98 gems | 0.5% | 142 | 144.4 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=magnetic) [M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-factory-new) Hidden $27.29 41.99 gems $0.64 0.98 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:14 UTC [USP-S | Desert Tactical (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-factory-new) Hidden $27.29 41.99 gems $0.68 1.05 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 03:14 UTC [M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-factory-new) [ncfoodie code DGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/ncfoodie%20code%20DGN) $27.29 41.99 gems $0.64 0.98 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:14 UTC [M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-factory-new) Hidden $27.29 41.99 gems $0.64 0.98 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:14 UTC [M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.29 41.99 gems $41.15 63.31 gems 1.51x 2026-11-11 03:14 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-factory-new) [ncfoodie code DGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/ncfoodie%20code%20DGN) $27.29 41.99 gems $40.38 62.12 gems 1.48x 2026-11-11 03:14 UTC [M4A1-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.29 41.99 gems $41.15 63.31 gems 1.51x 2026-11-11 03:14 UTC [Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) Hidden $27.29 41.99 gems $0.75 1.15 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 03:14 UTC [M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-factory-new) [ncfoodie code DGN](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/ncfoodie%20code%20DGN) $27.29 41.99 gems $0.64 0.98 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:14 UTC [M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-factory-new) Hidden $27.29 41.99 gems $0.64 0.98 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 03:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $27.29 | 89.99% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed gold 3.0% restricted 27.0% Extraordinary 15.0% mil spec 35.0% industrial 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt