---
title: "massive-win-5percent-ak47 on Clash.gg: odds & RTP"
description: "massive-win-5percent-ak47 ($0.13) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 65.53% over 1,991 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/massive-win-5percent-ak47
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:38Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [massive-win-5percent-ak47](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/massive-win-5percent-ak47)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · massive-win-5percent-ak47

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/massive-win-5percent-ak47?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/massive-win-5percent-ak47?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/massive-win-5percent-ak47) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/massive-win-5percent-ak47?window=all)

Price · $0.13 · 0.2 gems

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 65.53% · 1,991 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 204 openings · below min

7 days · 63.42% ±25.68 1,487 openings

30 days · 65.53% ±23.95 1,991 openings

since tracking started · 65.53% ±23.95 1,991 openings

14.0% 52.0% 90.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/massive-win-5percent-ak47?window=24h) | 204 | 37.92% ±23.3 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/massive-win-5percent-ak47?window=7d) | 1,487 | 63.42% ±25.7 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/massive-win-5percent-ak47) | 1,991 | 65.53% ±23.9 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/massive-win-5percent-ak47?window=all) | 1,991 | 65.53% ±23.9 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $18.25 28.08 gems 140.4x 2026-11-04 22:26 UTC

[AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $14.12 21.73 gems 108.6x 2026-11-10 04:05 UTC

[AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $14.12 21.73 gems 108.6x 2026-11-08 09:27 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $7.91 12.17 gems 60.85x 2026-11-09 02:20 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $7.91 12.17 gems 60.85x 2026-11-09 02:20 UTC

[AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-well-worn) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems $7.91 12.17 gems 60.85x 2026-11-08 09:11 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=massive-win-5percent-ak47)

[P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 02:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 02:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 02:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 02:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 02:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) [AtomicDE](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/AtomicDE) $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 02:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 02:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 02:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 02:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.13 0.2 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 02:46 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $18.25 (140.4x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 65.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $65.53 on average: an expected loss of $34.47 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
