--- title: "Maxxed case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Maxxed ($37.12) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 84.71% over 2,619 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/maxxed rendered: 2026-11-11T14:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Maxxed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/maxxed) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Maxxed A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/maxxed?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/maxxed?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/maxxed) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/maxxed?window=all) Price · $37.12 · 57.11 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $33.41 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.71% · 2,619 openings, odds method Variance · 19.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 89.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 89.13% ±48.09 315 openings 7 days · 87.74% ±17.89 2,276 openings 30 days · 84.71% ±16.68 2,619 openings since tracking started · 84.71% ±16.68 2,619 openings 40.5% 89.3% 138.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/maxxed?window=24h) | 315 | 89.13% ±48.1 | −0.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/maxxed?window=7d) | 2,276 | 87.74% ±17.9 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/maxxed) | 2,619 | 84.71% ±16.7 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/maxxed?window=all) | 2,619 | 84.71% ±16.7 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,641 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| 3DMAX (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 200 | $2,023 3,112 gems | 30.3% | 9 | 13.2 | 0.68× | | [Sticker \| King on the Field sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-king-on-the-field) | 1 in 100 | $579 892 gems | 17.3% | 22 | 26.4 | 0.83× | | [Sticker \| LGB eSports \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $372 572 gems | 11.1% | 40 | 26.4 | 1.51× | | [MAG-7 \| Cinquedea (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $304 468 gems | 9.1% | 29 | 26.4 | 1.10× | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $195 300 gems | 8.8% | 36 | 39.6 | 0.91× | | [Sticker \| ScreaM (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-scream-foil-cologne-2016) | 1 in 50 | $117 180 gems | 7.0% | 56 | 52.8 | 1.06× | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 50 | $94.25 145 gems | 5.6% | 55 | 52.8 | 1.04× | | [MAC-10 \| Red Filigree (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-red-filigree-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $54.59 83.98 gems | 3.3% | 49 | 52.8 | 0.93× | | [Howl Pin pin · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/howl-pin) | 1 in 25 | $28.54 43.91 gems | 3.4% | 97 | 105.6 | 0.92× | | [Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-factory-new) | 15.0% | $5.04 7.76 gems | 2.3% | 384 | 396.1 | 0.97× | | [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 35.0% | $1.31 2.02 gems | 1.4% | 962 | 924.3 | 1.04× | | [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) | 35.0% | $0.39 0.6 gems | 0.4% | 902 | 924.3 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) [( ͡° ᴥ ͡° )](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%28%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%20%E1%B4%A5%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%20%29) $37.12 57.11 gems $2,023 3,112 gems 54.50x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $37.12 57.11 gems $2,023 3,112 gems 54.50x 2026-11-09 20:10 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $37.12 57.11 gems $2,023 3,112 gems 54.50x 2026-11-09 12:59 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $37.12 57.11 gems $2,023 3,112 gems 54.50x 2026-11-09 02:18 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $37.12 57.11 gems $2,023 3,112 gems 54.50x 2026-11-07 19:52 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $37.12 57.11 gems $2,023 3,112 gems 54.50x 2026-11-06 02:40 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) [TheCheeseOnToast](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TheCheeseOnToast) $37.12 57.11 gems $2,023 3,112 gems 54.50x 2026-11-04 23:21 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $37.12 57.11 gems $2,023 3,112 gems 54.50x 2026-11-04 20:14 UTC [Sticker | 3DMAX (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-3dmax-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $37.12 57.11 gems $2,023 3,112 gems 54.50x 2026-11-04 17:07 UTC [Sticker | King on the Field sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-king-on-the-field) [Bottavious](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Bottavious) $37.12 57.11 gems $579 892 gems 15.61x 2026-11-10 18:50 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=maxxed) [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) Hidden $37.12 57.11 gems $1.31 2.02 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) Hidden $37.12 57.11 gems $0.39 0.6 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER | DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-dreamhack-2014) Hidden $37.12 57.11 gems $94.25 145 gems 2.54x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [MAG-7 | Cinquedea (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-field-tested) Hidden $37.12 57.11 gems $304 468 gems 8.20x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) Hidden $37.12 57.11 gems $1.31 2.02 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) Hidden $37.12 57.11 gems $0.39 0.6 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:20 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) Hidden $37.12 57.11 gems $0.39 0.6 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) Hidden $37.12 57.11 gems $1.31 2.02 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC [M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) Hidden $37.12 57.11 gems $0.39 0.6 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC [M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) Hidden $37.12 57.11 gems $1.31 2.02 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $37.12 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 0.5% high 4.0% Classified 1.0% covert 1.5% exotic 2.0% restricted 52.0% extraordinary 4.0% Mythical 35.0% best hit $2,023 (54.50x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt