--- title: "Milk and Cookies case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Milk and Cookies ($2.97) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.89% from 8 items with odds, observed 92.57% over 18.1K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/milk-and-cookies rendered: 2026-11-12T04:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Milk and Cookies](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/milk-and-cookies) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Milk and Cookies A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/milk-and-cookies?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/milk-and-cookies?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/milk-and-cookies) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/milk-and-cookies?window=all) Price · $2.97 · 4.57 gems Advertised RTP · 89.89% · EV $2.67 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.57% · 18.1K openings, odds method Variance · 18.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 96.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 98.97% ±18.98 2,014 openings 7 days · 94.59% ±7.00 14.8K openings 30 days · 92.57% ±6.33 18.1K openings since tracking started · 92.57% ±6.33 18.1K openings 79.5% 99.0% 118.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/milk-and-cookies?window=24h) | 2,014 | 98.97% ±19.0 | +0.9σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/milk-and-cookies?window=7d) | 14.8K | 94.59% ±7.00 | +1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/milk-and-cookies) | 18.1K | 92.57% ±6.33 | +0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/milk-and-cookies?window=all) | 18.1K | 92.57% ±6.33 | +0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18.2K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $116 178 gems | 43.4% | 199 | 182.4 | 1.09× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $53.69 82.6 gems | 20.1% | 176 | 182.4 | 0.96× | | [Galil AR \| Phoenix Blacklight (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-phoenix-blacklight-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $26.05 40.08 gems | 9.8% | 157 | 182.4 | 0.86× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $17.85 27.46 gems | 6.7% | 200 | 182.4 | 1.10× | | [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $2.68 4.13 gems | 8.0% | 1,456 | 1459.3 | 1.00× | | [MP9 \| Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $2.27 3.49 gems | 6.8% | 1,513 | 1459.3 | 1.04× | | [MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-field-tested) | 40.0% | $0.18 0.27 gems | 2.6% | 7,302 | 7296.7 | 1.00× | | [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-well-worn) | 40.0% | $0.18 0.27 gems | 2.6% | 7,239 | 7296.9 | 0.99× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=milk-and-cookies) [MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.97 4.57 gems $2.27 3.49 gems 0.76x 2026-11-12 04:14 UTC [MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-field-tested) Hidden $2.97 4.57 gems $0.18 0.27 gems 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:14 UTC [PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.97 4.57 gems $2.68 4.13 gems 0.90x 2026-11-12 04:14 UTC [MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-field-tested) Hidden $2.97 4.57 gems $0.18 0.27 gems 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:14 UTC [MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-field-tested) Hidden $2.97 4.57 gems $0.18 0.27 gems 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:14 UTC [MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-field-tested) [cameron831](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/cameron831) $2.97 4.57 gems $0.18 0.27 gems 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:14 UTC [SG 553 | Darkwing (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-well-worn) Hidden $2.97 4.57 gems $0.18 0.27 gems 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:13 UTC [MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-field-tested) Hidden $2.97 4.57 gems $0.18 0.27 gems 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:13 UTC [MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-field-tested) [cameron831](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/cameron831) $2.97 4.57 gems $0.18 0.27 gems 0.06x 2026-11-12 04:13 UTC [PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.97 4.57 gems $2.68 4.13 gems 0.90x 2026-11-12 04:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $2.97 | 89.89% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.0% violet 41.0% Ancient 1.0% classified 8.0% #d32ee6 8.0% restricted 40.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.89 on average: an expected loss of $10.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt