--- title: "Millionaire's Club case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Millionaire's Club ($122.34) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 76.26% over 3,938 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/millionaires-club rendered: 2026-11-12T10:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Millionaire's Club](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/millionaires-club) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Millionaire's Club A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/millionaires-club?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/millionaires-club?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/millionaires-club) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/millionaires-club?window=all) Price · $122.34 · 188 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $110.11 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 76.26% · 3,938 openings, odds method Variance · 155.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 333 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 400 openings · below min 7 days · 79.39% ±42.60 3,292 openings 30 days · 76.26% ±38.95 3,938 openings since tracking started · 76.26% ±38.95 3,938 openings 17.0% 139.8% 262.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/millionaires-club?window=24h) | 400 | 139.63% ±122.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/millionaires-club?window=7d) | 3,292 | 79.39% ±42.6 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/millionaires-club) | 3,938 | 76.26% ±38.9 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/millionaires-club?window=all) | 3,938 | 76.26% ±38.9 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,033 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $45.9K 70,622 gems | 41.7% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.74× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $7,716 11,870 gems | 14.0% | 3 | 8.1 | 0.37× | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $4,566 7,024 gems | 8.3% | 9 | 8.1 | 1.12× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $3,325 5,115 gems | 15.1% | 24 | 20.2 | 1.19× | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $1,160 1,785 gems | 10.5% | 39 | 40.3 | 0.97× | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $462 710 gems | 4.2% | 39 | 40.3 | 0.97× | | [M4A1-S \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $192 295 gems | 3.5% | 64 | 80.7 | 0.79× | | [Sticker \| Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) | 95.0% | $3.12 4.8 gems | 2.7% | 3,852 | 3831.3 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 06:20 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $122 188 gems $45.9K 70,622 gems 375.2x 2026-11-11 20:20 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $122 188 gems $45.9K 70,622 gems 375.2x 2026-11-08 17:53 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $122 188 gems $45.9K 70,622 gems 375.2x 2026-11-05 13:53 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $122 188 gems $7,716 11,870 gems 63.06x 2026-11-08 14:24 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) [⭕⃤ katal #brokemouse](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E2%AD%95%E2%83%A4%20%20katal%20%23brokemouse) $122 188 gems $7,716 11,870 gems 63.06x 2026-11-05 05:44 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $122 188 gems $7,716 11,870 gems 63.06x 2026-11-05 01:11 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) Hidden $122 188 gems $4,566 7,024 gems 37.32x 2026-11-12 03:51 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) Hidden $122 188 gems $4,566 7,024 gems 37.32x 2026-11-09 16:59 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) [CodeWILDCS 2K LB](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/CodeWILDCS%202K%20LB) $122 188 gems $4,566 7,024 gems 37.32x 2026-11-08 17:54 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) Hidden $122 188 gems $4,566 7,024 gems 37.32x 2026-11-07 02:12 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=millionaires-club) [Sticker | Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) Hidden $122 188 gems $3.12 4.8 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 04:03 UTC [Sticker | Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) Hidden $122 188 gems $3.12 4.8 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 04:03 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $122 188 gems $1,160 1,785 gems 9.48x 2026-11-12 04:03 UTC [Sticker | Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) Hidden $122 188 gems $3.12 4.8 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 04:03 UTC [Sticker | Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) Hidden $122 188 gems $3.12 4.8 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 04:03 UTC [Sticker | Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) [Code Brando](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Code%20Brando) $122 188 gems $3.12 4.8 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 04:03 UTC [Sticker | Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) Hidden $122 188 gems $3.12 4.8 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 04:03 UTC [Sticker | Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) Hidden $122 188 gems $3.12 4.8 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 04:03 UTC [Sticker | Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) Hidden $122 188 gems $3.12 4.8 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 04:03 UTC [Sticker | Ruby Stream (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ruby-stream-lenticular) Hidden $122 188 gems $3.12 4.8 gems 0.03x 2026-11-12 04:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $122 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.1% covert 1.4% epic 2.5% rare 1.0% extraordinary 95.0% best hit $45.9K (375.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt