--- title: "Mind Control case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Mind Control ($50.84) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 88.78% over 518 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mind-control rendered: 2026-11-11T20:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Mind Control](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mind-control) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Mind Control A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mind-control?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mind-control?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mind-control) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mind-control?window=all) Price · $50.84 · 78.21 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $45.75 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.78% · 518 openings, odds method Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 91 openings · below min 7 days · 83.78% ±16.53 442 openings 30 days · 88.78% ±15.27 518 openings since tracking started · 88.78% ±15.27 518 openings 44.0% 81.0% 118.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mind-control?window=24h) | 91 | 80.88% ±36.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mind-control?window=7d) | 442 | 83.78% ±16.5 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mind-control) | 518 | 88.78% ±15.3 | −0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mind-control?window=all) | 518 | 88.78% ±15.3 | −0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 524 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 10.0% | $302 465 gems | 66.1% | 50 | 52.4 | 0.95× | | [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-factory-new) | 10.0% | $80.35 124 gems | 17.6% | 52 | 52.4 | 0.99× | | [UMP-45 \| Minotaur's Labyrinth (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-minotaurs-labyrinth-factory-new) | 10.0% | $65.63 101 gems | 14.3% | 55 | 52.4 | 1.05× | | [P90 \| Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) | 10.0% | $6.47 9.95 gems | 1.4% | 53 | 52.4 | 1.01× | | [MAG-7 \| Insomnia (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-insomnia-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.66 1.02 gems | 0.3% | 106 | 104.8 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| CS On The Mind sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cs-on-the-mind) | 20.0% | $0.55 0.85 gems | 0.2% | 111 | 104.8 | 1.06× | | [Galil AR \| Connexion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.20 0.31 gems | 0.1% | 97 | 104.8 | 0.93× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=mind-control) [Sticker | CS On The Mind sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cs-on-the-mind) Hidden $50.84 78.21 gems $0.55 0.85 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:06 UTC [P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) Hidden $50.84 78.21 gems $6.47 9.95 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 20:06 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $50.84 78.21 gems $302 465 gems 5.95x 2026-11-11 20:06 UTC [UMP-45 | Minotaur's Labyrinth (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-minotaurs-labyrinth-factory-new) Hidden $50.84 78.21 gems $65.63 101 gems 1.29x 2026-11-11 20:06 UTC [P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) Hidden $50.84 78.21 gems $6.47 9.95 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 20:06 UTC [Galil AR | Connexion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-connexion-battle-scarred) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $50.84 78.21 gems $0.20 0.31 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:06 UTC [MAG-7 | Insomnia (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-insomnia-factory-new) Hidden $50.84 78.21 gems $0.66 1.02 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:03 UTC [P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) Hidden $50.84 78.21 gems $6.47 9.95 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 20:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Control Panel (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $50.84 78.21 gems $80.35 124 gems 1.58x 2026-11-11 20:03 UTC [Sticker | CS On The Mind sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cs-on-the-mind) Hidden $50.84 78.21 gems $0.55 0.85 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $50.84 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 10.0% Legendary 10.0% mil spec 10.0% Mythical 10.0% #4b69ff 20.0% Rare 20.0% #8847ff 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt