--- title: "Miss You case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Miss You ($85.68) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 94.61% over 167 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/miss-you rendered: 2026-11-11T19:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Miss You](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/miss-you) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Miss You A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/miss-you?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/miss-you?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/miss-you) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/miss-you?window=all) Price · $85.68 · 132 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $77.12 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.61% · 167 openings, odds method Variance · 3.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 102.63% ±30.59 145 openings 30 days · 94.61% ±28.50 167 openings since tracking started · 94.61% ±28.50 167 openings -0.5% 91.3% 183.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/miss-you?window=24h) | 12 | 75.89% ±106.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/miss-you?window=7d) | 145 | 102.63% ±30.6 | +0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/miss-you) | 167 | 94.61% ±28.5 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/miss-you?window=all) | 167 | 94.61% ±28.5 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 167 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $899 1,383 gems | 11.7% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.80× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler - (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald-2) | 1 in 33 | $721 1,109 gems | 28.0% | 3 | 5.0 | 0.60× | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $402 618 gems | 5.2% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $197 303 gems | 17.9% | 16 | 11.7 | 1.37× | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 13.0% | $169 260 gems | 28.5% | 21 | 21.7 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| Swag (Foil) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-swag-foil) | 1 in 20 | $45.08 69.36 gems | 2.9% | 6 | 8.3 | 0.72× | | [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-factory-new) | 10.0% | $16.67 25.65 gems | 2.2% | 24 | 16.7 | 1.44× | | [Souvenir P250 \| Sand Dune (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-sand-dune-factory-new) | 15.0% | $15.81 24.33 gems | 3.1% | 28 | 25.0 | 1.12× | | [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) | 20.0% | $2.14 3.29 gems | 0.6% | 28 | 33.4 | 0.84× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 gems | 0.0% | 36 | 41.8 | 0.86× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $85.68 132 gems $899 1,383 gems 10.49x 2026-11-10 16:46 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $85.68 132 gems $899 1,383 gems 10.49x 2026-11-09 00:55 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) Hidden $85.68 132 gems $899 1,383 gems 10.49x 2026-11-07 08:31 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler - (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald-2) Hidden $85.68 132 gems $721 1,109 gems 8.41x 2026-11-10 16:46 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler - (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald-2) Hidden $85.68 132 gems $721 1,109 gems 8.41x 2026-11-09 17:11 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler - (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald-2) Hidden $85.68 132 gems $721 1,109 gems 8.41x 2026-11-08 22:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=miss-you) [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $85.68 132 gems $197 303 gems 2.30x 2026-11-10 21:32 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $85.68 132 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:32 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $85.68 132 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:32 UTC [Souvenir P250 | Sand Dune (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $85.68 132 gems $15.81 24.33 gems 0.18x 2026-11-10 21:32 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) Hidden $85.68 132 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:32 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-battle-scarred) [$1k LB - Code \*STV\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%241k%20LB%20-%20Code%20*STV*-8659005) $85.68 132 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:32 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) Hidden $85.68 132 gems $169 260 gems 1.97x 2026-11-10 21:32 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $85.68 132 gems $197 303 gems 2.30x 2026-11-10 21:32 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) Hidden $85.68 132 gems $169 260 gems 1.97x 2026-11-10 21:32 UTC [Dual Berettas | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $85.68 132 gems $16.67 25.65 gems 0.19x 2026-11-10 21:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $85.68 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 1.0% other 3.0% rare 1.0% extraordinary 7.0% restricted 13.0% Exotic 5.0% mil spec 10.0% Consumer Grade 15.0% #8847ff 20.0% consumer 25.0% best hit $899 (10.49x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt