--- title: "MP9 Showdown case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "MP9 Showdown ($1.38) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 52.71% over 18 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mp9-showdown rendered: 2026-11-11T22:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [MP9 Showdown](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mp9-showdown) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · MP9 Showdown A case on Clash.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mp9-showdown?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mp9-showdown?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mp9-showdown) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mp9-showdown?window=all) Price · $1.38 · 2.13 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 52.71% · 18 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 18 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min 13.5% 52.8% 92.0% **Small sample.** 18 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mp9-showdown?window=24h) | 18 | 52.71% ±38.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mp9-showdown?window=7d) | 18 | 52.71% ±38.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mp9-showdown) | 18 | 52.71% ±38.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/mp9-showdown?window=all) | 18 | 52.71% ±38.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=mp9-showdown) [MP9 | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-orange-peel-factory-new) Hidden $1.38 2.13 gems $0.33 0.51 gems 0.24x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-factory-new) Hidden $1.38 2.13 gems $0.05 0.08 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-factory-new) Hidden $1.38 2.13 gems $0.05 0.08 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-factory-new) Hidden $1.38 2.13 gems $0.05 0.08 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-factory-new) Hidden $1.38 2.13 gems $0.05 0.08 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-factory-new) [Hakan Şükür](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Hakan%20%C5%9E%C3%BCk%C3%BCr) $1.38 2.13 gems $0.05 0.08 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-factory-new) Hidden $1.38 2.13 gems $0.05 0.08 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-factory-new) Hidden $1.38 2.13 gems $0.05 0.08 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [MP9 | Slide (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-slide-factory-new) Hidden $1.38 2.13 gems $0.05 0.08 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC [MP9 | Dry Season (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dry-season-factory-new) Hidden $1.38 2.13 gems $2.85 4.38 gems 2.06x 2026-11-11 21:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 52.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $52.71 on average: an expected loss of $47.29 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt