--- title: "Nat Lot 5% case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Nat Lot 5% ($0.44) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 192.57% over 42 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nat-lot-5percent rendered: 2026-11-12T09:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Nat Lot 5%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nat-lot-5percent) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Nat Lot 5% A case on Clash.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nat-lot-5percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nat-lot-5percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nat-lot-5percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nat-lot-5percent?window=all) Price · $0.44 · 0.67 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 192.57% · 42 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 42 openings · below min 7 days · 42 openings · below min 30 days · 42 openings · below min since tracking started · 42 openings · below min -0.5% 268.0% 536.5% **Small sample.** 42 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nat-lot-5percent?window=24h) | 42 | 192.57% ±343.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nat-lot-5percent?window=7d) | 42 | 192.57% ±343.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nat-lot-5percent) | 42 | 192.57% ±343.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nat-lot-5percent?window=all) | 42 | 192.57% ±343.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) Hidden $0.44 0.67 gems $32.02 49.26 gems 73.52x 2026-11-11 22:18 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=nat-lot-5percent) [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $0.44 0.67 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 23:12 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $0.44 0.67 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 23:12 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $0.44 0.67 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 23:12 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $0.44 0.67 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 23:12 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $0.44 0.67 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 23:12 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) [Traumazard](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Traumazard) $0.44 0.67 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 23:12 UTC [Sticker | Hello AK-47 (Gold) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-ak-47-gold) Hidden $0.44 0.67 gems $2.68 4.13 gems 6.16x 2026-11-11 23:12 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $0.44 0.67 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 23:12 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $0.44 0.67 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 23:12 UTC [Sticker | Bum A Smoke sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bum-a-smoke) Hidden $0.44 0.67 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.03x 2026-11-11 23:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $32.02 (73.52x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 192.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $192.57 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt