--- title: "Negativity Ahead 10% case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Negativity Ahead 10% ($16.25) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 67.90% over 36 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/negativity-ahead-10percent rendered: 2026-11-11T23:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Negativity Ahead 10%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/negativity-ahead-10percent) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Negativity Ahead 10% A case on Clash.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/negativity-ahead-10percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/negativity-ahead-10percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/negativity-ahead-10percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/negativity-ahead-10percent?window=all) Price · $16.25 · 25 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 67.90% · 36 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 30 openings · below min 7 days · 30 openings · below min 30 days · 36 openings · below min since tracking started · 36 openings · below min -0.5% 67.0% 134.5% **Small sample.** 36 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/negativity-ahead-10percent?window=24h) | 30 | 55.84% ±63.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/negativity-ahead-10percent?window=7d) | 30 | 55.84% ±63.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/negativity-ahead-10percent) | 36 | 67.90% ±66.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/negativity-ahead-10percent?window=all) | 36 | 67.90% ±66.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=negativity-ahead-10percent) [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:29 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:29 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:29 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $63.92 98.34 gems 3.93x 2026-11-11 21:29 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:29 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) [aron\_alin2002](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/aron_alin2002) $16.25 25 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:29 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:29 UTC [Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:29 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 21:29 UTC [USP-S | Target Acquired (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-factory-new) Hidden $16.25 25 gems $82.99 128 gems 5.11x 2026-11-11 21:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 67.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $67.90 on average: an expected loss of $32.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt