---
title: "nerdyischeap2 case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "nerdyischeap2 ($5.08) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 1182.52% over 157 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nerdyischeap2
rendered: 2026-11-13T00:36Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [nerdyischeap2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nerdyischeap2)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · nerdyischeap2

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nerdyischeap2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nerdyischeap2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nerdyischeap2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nerdyischeap2?window=all)

Price · $5.08 · 7.82 gems

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 1182.52% · 157 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 40 openings · below min

7 days · 133 openings · below min

30 days · 157 openings · below min

since tracking started · 157 openings · below min

-0.5% 1986.2% 3973.0%

**Small sample.** 157 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nerdyischeap2?window=24h) | 40 | 52.99% ±69.7 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nerdyischeap2?window=7d) | 133 | 1382.26% ±2590.1 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nerdyischeap2) | 157 | 1182.52% ±2194.2 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nerdyischeap2?window=all) | 157 | 1182.52% ±2194.2 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $5.08 7.82 gems $8,936 13,748 gems 1,758x 2026-11-08 18:26 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=nerdyischeap2)

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-eco-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.08 7.82 gems $2.04 3.14 gems 0.40x 2026-11-12 23:13 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Eco (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-eco-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.08 7.82 gems $2.04 3.14 gems 0.40x 2026-11-12 23:13 UTC

[Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $5.08 7.82 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:13 UTC

[Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) [xanax](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/xanax) $5.08 7.82 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:13 UTC

[Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $5.08 7.82 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:11 UTC

[Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $5.08 7.82 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:11 UTC

[Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $5.08 7.82 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:11 UTC

[Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) [xanax](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/xanax) $5.08 7.82 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:11 UTC

[Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $5.08 7.82 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:08 UTC

[Sticker | rain (Champion) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-champion-antwerp-2022) Hidden $5.08 7.82 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.00x 2026-11-12 23:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $8,936 (1,758x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 1182.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $1,182.52 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
