--- title: "Nickel and Dime Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Nickel and Dime Case ($52.99) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 103.03% over 979 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nickel-and-dime-case rendered: 2026-11-11T23:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Nickel and Dime Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nickel-and-dime-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Nickel and Dime Case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nickel-and-dime-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nickel-and-dime-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nickel-and-dime-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nickel-and-dime-case?window=all) Price · $52.99 · 81.53 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $47.69 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 103.03% · 979 openings, odds method Variance · 11.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 61 openings · below min 7 days · 100.52% ±25.09 719 openings 30 days · 103.03% ±21.50 979 openings since tracking started · 103.03% ±21.50 979 openings 41.0% 127.8% 214.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nickel-and-dime-case?window=24h) | 61 | 127.85% ±86.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nickel-and-dime-case?window=7d) | 719 | 100.52% ±25.1 | +0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nickel-and-dime-case) | 979 | 103.03% ±21.5 | +1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nickel-and-dime-case?window=all) | 979 | 103.03% ±21.5 | +1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,017 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $1,466 2,255 gems | 30.7% | 9 | 10.2 | 0.88× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 100 | $1,016 1,562 gems | 21.3% | 15 | 10.2 | 1.47× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 100 | $406 625 gems | 8.5% | 18 | 10.2 | 1.77× | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $271 417 gems | 11.4% | 27 | 20.3 | 1.33× | | [AWP \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $68.17 105 gems | 7.1% | 67 | 50.9 | 1.32× | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $39.84 61.29 gems | 4.2% | 42 | 50.9 | 0.83× | | [M4A1-S \| Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) | 10.0% | $28.81 44.32 gems | 6.0% | 98 | 101.7 | 0.96× | | [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $14.80 22.77 gems | 4.7% | 151 | 152.5 | 0.99× | | [FAMAS \| Djinn (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-field-tested) | 30.0% | $7.37 11.34 gems | 4.6% | 313 | 305.1 | 1.03× | | [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) | 30.0% | $2.28 3.5 gems | 1.4% | 277 | 305.1 | 0.91× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $1,466 2,255 gems 27.66x 2026-11-11 17:11 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) [Armands Miesnieks](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Armands%20Miesnieks) $52.99 81.53 gems $1,466 2,255 gems 27.66x 2026-11-10 13:40 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $1,466 2,255 gems 27.66x 2026-11-07 04:11 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $1,466 2,255 gems 27.66x 2026-11-06 09:35 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $1,466 2,255 gems 27.66x 2026-11-05 08:48 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $1,466 2,255 gems 27.66x 2026-11-04 19:32 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $1,466 2,255 gems 27.66x 2026-11-04 15:16 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $1,466 2,255 gems 27.66x 2026-11-03 04:38 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $1,466 2,255 gems 27.66x 2026-11-03 00:01 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $1,016 1,562 gems 19.16x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=nickel-and-dime-case) [M4A1-S | Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $28.81 44.32 gems 0.54x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-field-tested) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $7.37 11.34 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $14.80 22.77 gems 0.28x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $2.28 3.5 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $2.28 3.5 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-field-tested) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $7.37 11.34 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $14.80 22.77 gems 0.28x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $1,016 1,562 gems 19.16x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $14.80 22.77 gems 0.28x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC [M4A1-S | Party Animal (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-party-animal-field-tested) Hidden $52.99 81.53 gems $28.81 44.32 gems 0.54x 2026-11-11 21:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $52.99 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 10.0% Ancient 5.0% classified 25.0% pink 60.0% best hit $1,466 (27.66x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt