--- title: "Nigerianz 3% case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Nigerianz 3% ($3.25) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 45.12% over 72 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nigerianz-3percent rendered: 2026-11-11T23:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Nigerianz 3%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nigerianz-3percent) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Nigerianz 3% A case on Clash.gg, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nigerianz-3percent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nigerianz-3percent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nigerianz-3percent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nigerianz-3percent?window=all) Price · $3.25 · 5 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 45.12% · 72 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 42 openings · below min 7 days · 72 openings · below min 30 days · 72 openings · below min since tracking started · 72 openings · below min -0.5% 93.5% 187.5% **Small sample.** 72 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nigerianz-3percent?window=24h) | 42 | 77.20% ±109.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nigerianz-3percent?window=7d) | 72 | 45.12% ±64.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nigerianz-3percent) | 72 | 45.12% ±64.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/nigerianz-3percent?window=all) | 72 | 45.12% ±64.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=nigerianz-3percent) [Sticker | Arms Race sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-arms-race) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:23 UTC [Sticker | Arms Race sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-arms-race) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:23 UTC [Sticker | Arms Race sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-arms-race) [YT@SugarViking](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/YT%40SugarViking) $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:23 UTC [Sticker | Arms Race sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-arms-race) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Sticker | Arms Race sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-arms-race) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Sticker | Arms Race sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-arms-race) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Sticker | Arms Race sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-arms-race) [YT@SugarViking](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/YT%40SugarViking) $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Sticker | Arms Race sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-arms-race) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC [Sticker | Arms Race sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-arms-race) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC [Sticker | Arms Race sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-arms-race) Hidden $3.25 5 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 45.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $45.12 on average: an expected loss of $54.88 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt