--- title: "Night and Day case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Night and Day ($144.61) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 99.76% over 195 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-and-day rendered: 2026-11-12T02:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Night and Day](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-and-day) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Night and Day A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-and-day?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-and-day?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-and-day) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-and-day?window=all) Price · $144.61 · 222 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $130.15 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 99.76% · 195 openings, odds method Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 24 openings · below min 7 days · 107.15% ±21.99 150 openings 30 days · 99.76% ±19.29 195 openings since tracking started · 99.76% ±19.29 195 openings 79.5% 135.3% 191.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-and-day?window=24h) | 24 | 135.33% ±55.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-and-day?window=7d) | 150 | 107.15% ±22.0 | +1.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-and-day) | 195 | 99.76% ±19.3 | +1.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-and-day?window=all) | 195 | 99.76% ±19.3 | +1.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 195 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $768 1,181 gems | 29.5% | 11 | 9.7 | 1.13× | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 10.0% | $377 581 gems | 29.0% | 22 | 19.5 | 1.13× | | [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $332 510 gems | 25.5% | 22 | 19.5 | 1.13× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Graphite (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-graphite-factory-new) | 25.0% | $83.20 128 gems | 16.0% | 49 | 48.7 | 1.01× | | [SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) | 25.0% | $0.20 0.31 gems | 0.0% | 49 | 48.7 | 1.01× | | [P250 \| Forest Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-forest-night-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $0.08 0.13 gems | 0.0% | 42 | 48.8 | 0.86× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 12 Nov, 00:07 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $145 222 gems $768 1,181 gems 5.31x 2026-11-11 03:56 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $145 222 gems $768 1,181 gems 5.31x 2026-11-11 03:56 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) [Trole](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Trole) $145 222 gems $768 1,181 gems 5.31x 2026-11-06 23:13 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $145 222 gems $768 1,181 gems 5.31x 2026-11-06 10:37 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $145 222 gems $768 1,181 gems 5.31x 2026-11-06 10:36 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $145 222 gems $768 1,181 gems 5.31x 2026-11-05 18:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $145 222 gems $768 1,181 gems 5.31x 2026-11-05 18:02 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $145 222 gems $768 1,181 gems 5.31x 2026-11-05 18:00 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $145 222 gems $768 1,181 gems 5.31x 2026-11-05 16:44 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $145 222 gems $768 1,181 gems 5.31x 2026-11-05 12:47 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=night-and-day) [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) Hidden $145 222 gems $768 1,181 gems 5.31x 2026-11-11 03:56 UTC [P250 | Forest Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-forest-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $145 222 gems $0.08 0.13 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:56 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Graphite (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-graphite-factory-new) Hidden $145 222 gems $83.20 128 gems 0.58x 2026-11-11 03:56 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Graphite (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-graphite-factory-new) [fenom](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/fenom) $145 222 gems $83.20 128 gems 0.58x 2026-11-11 03:56 UTC [M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) Hidden $145 222 gems $332 510 gems 2.29x 2026-11-11 03:56 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) Hidden $145 222 gems $377 581 gems 2.61x 2026-11-11 03:56 UTC [M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) Hidden $145 222 gems $332 510 gems 2.29x 2026-11-11 03:56 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) [fenom](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/fenom) $145 222 gems $377 581 gems 2.61x 2026-11-11 03:56 UTC [P250 | Forest Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-forest-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $145 222 gems $0.08 0.13 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:56 UTC [M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) Hidden $145 222 gems $332 510 gems 2.29x 2026-11-11 03:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $145 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed gold 5.0% classified 10.0% restricted 10.0% Classified 25.0% #4b69ff 25.0% gray 25.0% best hit $768 (5.31x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt