---
title: "Night Club case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Night Club ($72.01) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 89.22% over 491 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-club
rendered: 2026-11-11T23:45Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Night Club](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-club)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Night Club

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-club?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-club?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-club) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-club?window=all)

Price · $72.01 · 111 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $64.81 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.22% · 491 openings, odds method

Variance · 6.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 37 openings · below min

7 days · 80.48% ±26.54 353 openings

30 days · 89.22% ±22.50 491 openings

since tracking started · 89.22% ±22.50 491 openings

-0.5% 58.5% 117.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-club?window=24h) | 37 | 35.08% ±82.0 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-club?window=7d) | 353 | 80.48% ±26.5 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-club) | 491 | 89.22% ±22.5 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-club?window=all) | 491 | 89.22% ±22.5 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 491 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $1,043 1,604 gems | 48.3% | 14 | 14.7 | 0.95× |
| [AUG \| Midnight Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-midnight-lily-factory-new) | 17.0% | $173 266 gems | 45.4% | 84 | 83.5 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $24.81 38.17 gems | 1.9% | 41 | 24.5 | 1.67× |
| [M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $14.37 22.11 gems | 1.1% | 27 | 24.5 | 1.10× |
| [MP9 \| Music Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-music-box-factory-new) | 10.0% | $6.67 10.26 gems | 1.0% | 44 | 49.1 | 0.90× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) | 15.0% | $4.79 7.37 gems | 1.1% | 76 | 73.6 | 1.03× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 20.0% | $3.57 5.49 gems | 1.1% | 91 | 98.2 | 0.93× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.22 0.34 gems | 0.1% | 114 | 122.8 | 0.93× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $1,043 1,604 gems 14.48x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $1,043 1,604 gems 14.48x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $1,043 1,604 gems 14.48x 2026-11-10 07:03 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $1,043 1,604 gems 14.48x 2026-11-09 11:41 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $1,043 1,604 gems 14.48x 2026-11-08 11:49 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $1,043 1,604 gems 14.48x 2026-11-08 01:02 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $1,043 1,604 gems 14.48x 2026-11-06 23:03 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $1,043 1,604 gems 14.48x 2026-11-06 13:53 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $1,043 1,604 gems 14.48x 2026-11-04 19:51 UTC

[M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $1,043 1,604 gems 14.48x 2026-11-04 19:48 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=night-club)

[Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $4.79 7.37 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $24.81 38.17 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $24.81 38.17 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC

[MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-music-box-factory-new) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $6.67 10.26 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $3.57 5.49 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) [colin](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/colin) $72.01 111 gems $24.81 38.17 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 21:04 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-battle-scarred) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $0.22 0.34 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $3.57 5.49 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $72.01 111 gems $4.79 7.37 gems 0.07x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-battle-scarred) [anlaki](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/anlaki) $72.01 111 gems $0.22 0.34 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $72.01 | 90.00% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 8.0% restricted 52.0% industrial 5.0% mil spec 10.0% #8847ff 25.0% best hit $1,043 (14.48x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt