--- title: "Night Vision case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Night Vision ($14.46) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 9 items with odds, observed 86.78% over 1,616 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-vision rendered: 2026-11-11T16:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Night Vision](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-vision) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Night Vision A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-vision?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-vision?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-vision) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-vision?window=all) Price · $14.46 · 22.24 gems Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $13.01 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.78% · 1,616 openings, odds method Variance · 10.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 29 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 78.79% ±44.43 210 openings 7 days · 84.65% ±16.90 1,452 openings 30 days · 86.78% ±16.02 1,616 openings since tracking started · 86.78% ±16.02 1,616 openings 33.5% 78.8% 124.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-vision?window=24h) | 210 | 78.79% ±44.4 | −0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-vision?window=7d) | 1,452 | 84.65% ±16.9 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-vision) | 1,616 | 86.78% ±16.0 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/night-vision?window=all) | 1,616 | 86.78% ±16.0 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,644 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $498 767 gems | 19.2% | 10 | 8.2 | 1.22× | | [★ Nomad Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife) | 1 in 200 | $380 585 gems | 14.6% | 6 | 8.2 | 0.73× | | [M4A4 \| Modern Hunter (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-modern-hunter-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $218 336 gems | 8.4% | 9 | 8.2 | 1.09× | | [UMP-45 \| Day Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-day-lily-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $59.36 91.33 gems | 9.1% | 34 | 32.9 | 1.03× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $54.34 83.6 gems | 12.5% | 41 | 49.3 | 0.83× | | [USP-S \| Stainless (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-factory-new) | 15.0% | $19.45 29.93 gems | 22.4% | 239 | 246.6 | 0.97× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Sergeant (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-sergeant-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $6.23 9.58 gems | 4.8% | 162 | 164.4 | 0.99× | | [MP9 \| Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) | 10.0% | $2.93 4.5 gems | 2.2% | 170 | 164.4 | 1.03× | | [P2000 \| Pulse (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-factory-new) | 58.5% | $1.49 2.29 gems | 6.7% | 973 | 961.7 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=night-vision) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) Hidden $14.46 22.24 gems $54.34 83.6 gems 3.76x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-sergeant-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.46 22.24 gems $6.23 9.58 gems 0.43x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC [P2000 | Pulse (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-factory-new) Hidden $14.46 22.24 gems $1.49 2.29 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC [P2000 | Pulse (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-factory-new) Hidden $14.46 22.24 gems $1.49 2.29 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC [USP-S | Stainless (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-factory-new) Hidden $14.46 22.24 gems $19.45 29.93 gems 1.35x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC [USP-S | Stainless (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-factory-new) [TTHD](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TTHD) $14.46 22.24 gems $19.45 29.93 gems 1.35x 2026-11-11 15:01 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-factory-new) Hidden $14.46 22.24 gems $54.34 83.6 gems 3.76x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC [MP9 | Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) Hidden $14.46 22.24 gems $2.93 4.5 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC [P2000 | Pulse (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-factory-new) Hidden $14.46 22.24 gems $1.49 2.29 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC [P2000 | Pulse (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pulse-factory-new) Hidden $14.46 22.24 gems $1.49 2.29 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $14.46 | 89.97% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% restricted 10.5% #4B69FF 2.0% classified 3.0% mil spec 73.5% pink 10.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt