--- title: "No Russian case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "No Russian ($21.73) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 9 items with odds, observed 93.08% over 727 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-russian rendered: 2026-11-11T22:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [No Russian](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-russian) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · No Russian A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-russian?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-russian?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-russian) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-russian?window=all) Price · $21.73 · 33.43 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $19.55 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.08% · 727 openings, odds method Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 30 openings · below min 7 days · 89.51% ±14.14 593 openings 30 days · 93.08% ±12.77 727 openings since tracking started · 93.08% ±12.77 727 openings 70.0% 133.5% 197.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-russian?window=24h) | 30 | 133.67% ±62.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-russian?window=7d) | 593 | 89.51% ±14.1 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-russian) | 727 | 93.08% ±12.8 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-russian?window=all) | 727 | 93.08% ±12.8 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 795 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M249 \| Blizzard Marbleized (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-blizzard-marbleized-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $344 529 gems | 8.8% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.26× | | [Negev \| Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-anodized-navy-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $176 270 gems | 22.5% | 23 | 19.9 | 1.16× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-factory-new) | 22.0% | $44.18 67.97 gems | 49.7% | 158 | 174.9 | 0.90× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) | 10.0% | $18.74 28.83 gems | 9.6% | 100 | 79.5 | 1.26× | | [M249 \| Blizzard Marbleized (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-blizzard-marbleized-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $10.28 15.82 gems | 5.3% | 94 | 79.5 | 1.18× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-magnesium-factory-new) | 10.0% | $3.59 5.52 gems | 1.8% | 72 | 79.5 | 0.91× | | [P250 \| Dark Filigree (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-dark-filigree-factory-new) | 10.0% | $2.93 4.51 gems | 1.5% | 62 | 79.5 | 0.78× | | [M249 \| Midnight Palm (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-midnight-palm-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.51 0.79 gems | 0.4% | 117 | 119.2 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ Negev \| Prototype (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-prototype-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.45 0.7 gems | 0.5% | 164 | 159.0 | 1.03× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=no-russian) [StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-factory-new) Hidden $21.73 33.43 gems $44.18 67.97 gems 2.03x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Prototype (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-prototype-factory-new) Hidden $21.73 33.43 gems $0.45 0.7 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [M249 | Blizzard Marbleized (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-blizzard-marbleized-minimal-wear) Hidden $21.73 33.43 gems $10.28 15.82 gems 0.47x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-magnesium-factory-new) [Michael Olise](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Michael%20Olise) $21.73 33.43 gems $3.59 5.52 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 21:39 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Prototype (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-prototype-factory-new) Hidden $21.73 33.43 gems $0.45 0.7 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Prototype (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-prototype-factory-new) Hidden $21.73 33.43 gems $0.45 0.7 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC [M249 | Blizzard Marbleized (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-blizzard-marbleized-factory-new) Hidden $21.73 33.43 gems $344 529 gems 15.81x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) Hidden $21.73 33.43 gems $18.74 28.83 gems 0.86x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC [StatTrak™ Negev | Prototype (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-prototype-factory-new) Hidden $21.73 33.43 gems $0.45 0.7 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) [Michael Olise](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Michael%20Olise) $21.73 33.43 gems $18.74 28.83 gems 0.86x 2026-11-11 21:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $21.73 | 89.98% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Industrial Grade 25.5% #4b69ff 2.5% Mil Spec Grade 22.0% restricted 10.0% milspec 10.0% industrial 10.0% Mil Spec 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt