--- title: "No Show case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "No Show ($375.00) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 74.36% over 502 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-show rendered: 2026-11-11T14:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [No Show](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-show) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · No Show A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-show?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-show?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-show) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-show?window=all) Price · $375.00 · 577 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $337.50 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 74.36% · 502 openings, odds method Variance · 16.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 50 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 46 openings · below min 7 days · 73.69% ±45.28 310 openings 30 days · 74.36% ±35.58 502 openings since tracking started · 74.36% ±35.58 502 openings 28.0% 167.3% 306.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-show?window=24h) | 46 | 188.19% ±117.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-show?window=7d) | 310 | 73.69% ±45.3 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-show) | 502 | 74.36% ±35.6 | −0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/no-show?window=all) | 502 | 74.36% ±35.6 | −0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 502 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| kNgV- (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 100 | $10.6K 16,367 gems | 31.5% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.80× | | [Sticker \| LUCAS1 (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lucas1-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 100 | $9,750 15,000 gems | 28.9% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.80× | | [Sticker \| HEN1 (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 100 | $5,429 8,352 gems | 16.1% | 3 | 5.0 | 0.60× | | [Sticker \| BIT (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bit-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 100 | $1,950 3,000 gems | 5.8% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.20× | | [Sticker \| fnx (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnx-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 100 | $1,321 2,032 gems | 3.9% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.00× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $284 438 gems | 4.2% | 27 | 25.1 | 1.08× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) | 10.0% | $168 259 gems | 5.0% | 52 | 50.2 | 1.04× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 10.0% | $91.05 140 gems | 2.7% | 45 | 50.2 | 0.90× | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $36.76 56.56 gems | 1.1% | 49 | 50.2 | 0.98× | | [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $20.80 32 gems | 0.6% | 56 | 50.2 | 1.12× | | [Sticker \| Hello AK-47 (Gold) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-ak-47-gold) | 25.0% | $2.68 4.13 gems | 0.2% | 119 | 125.5 | 0.95× | | [Sticker \| Hello AWP sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-awp) | 25.0% | $0.19 0.29 gems | 0.0% | 132 | 125.5 | 1.05× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | kNgV- (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $375 577 gems $10.6K 16,367 gems 28.37x 2026-11-10 16:46 UTC [Sticker | kNgV- (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $375 577 gems $10.6K 16,367 gems 28.37x 2026-11-07 07:55 UTC [Sticker | kNgV- (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $375 577 gems $10.6K 16,367 gems 28.37x 2026-11-03 18:34 UTC [Sticker | kNgV- (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kngv-gold-boston-2018) [Mochi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mochi) $375 577 gems $10.6K 16,367 gems 28.37x 2026-11-03 03:59 UTC [Sticker | LUCAS1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lucas1-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $375 577 gems $9,750 15,000 gems 26.00x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Sticker | LUCAS1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lucas1-gold-boston-2018) [Hydrarewards.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Hydrarewards.com) $375 577 gems $9,750 15,000 gems 26.00x 2026-11-11 09:53 UTC [Sticker | LUCAS1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lucas1-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $375 577 gems $9,750 15,000 gems 26.00x 2026-11-07 16:27 UTC [Sticker | LUCAS1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lucas1-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $375 577 gems $9,750 15,000 gems 26.00x 2026-11-03 04:07 UTC [Sticker | HEN1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $375 577 gems $5,429 8,352 gems 14.48x 2026-11-10 14:23 UTC [Sticker | HEN1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hen1-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $375 577 gems $5,429 8,352 gems 14.48x 2026-11-07 16:35 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=no-show) [Sticker | Hello AK-47 (Gold) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-ak-47-gold) Hidden $375 577 gems $2.68 4.13 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-battle-scarred) Hidden $375 577 gems $20.80 32 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $375 577 gems $284 438 gems 0.76x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [M4A4 | The Coalition (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-minimal-wear) Hidden $375 577 gems $36.76 56.56 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Sticker | LUCAS1 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lucas1-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $375 577 gems $9,750 15,000 gems 26.00x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Sticker | Hello AWP sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-awp) [Kick/HarryJZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick%2FHarryJZ) $375 577 gems $0.19 0.29 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [Sticker | Hello AWP sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-awp) Hidden $375 577 gems $0.19 0.29 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [Sticker | Hello AWP sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-awp) Hidden $375 577 gems $0.19 0.29 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [M4A4 | The Coalition (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-minimal-wear) Hidden $375 577 gems $36.76 56.56 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [Sticker | Hello AWP sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-awp) Hidden $375 577 gems $0.19 0.29 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $375 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 2.0% other 3.0% covert 25.0% #eb4b4b 10.0% #8847ff 35.0% High Grade 25.0% best hit $10.6K (28.37x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt