--- title: "Malta case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Malta ($69.73) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 79.60% over 1,808 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-criminal rendered: 2026-11-11T18:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Malta](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-criminal) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Malta A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-criminal?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-criminal?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-criminal) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-criminal?window=all) Price · $69.73 · 107 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $62.75 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 79.60% · 1,808 openings, odds method Variance · 24.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 159 openings · below min 7 days · 82.25% ±23.96 1,668 openings 30 days · 79.60% ±23.01 1,808 openings since tracking started · 79.60% ±23.01 1,808 openings -0.5% 77.3% 155.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-criminal?window=24h) | 159 | 76.87% ±77.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-criminal?window=7d) | 1,668 | 82.25% ±24.0 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-criminal) | 1,808 | 79.60% ±23.0 | −0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-criminal?window=all) | 1,808 | 79.60% ±23.0 | −0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,822 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $3,474 5,344 gems | 55.4% | 15 | 18.2 | 0.82× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $319 491 gems | 10.2% | 33 | 36.4 | 0.91× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $214 329 gems | 10.2% | 47 | 54.7 | 0.86× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 14.0% | $84.73 130 gems | 18.9% | 251 | 255.1 | 0.98× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $16.13 24.81 gems | 1.3% | 92 | 91.1 | 1.01× | | [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $11.80 18.15 gems | 3.8% | 400 | 364.4 | 1.10× | | [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.52 0.8 gems | 0.2% | 446 | 455.5 | 0.98× | | [MAC-10 \| Lapis Gator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | $0.20 0.3 gems | 0.1% | 538 | 546.6 | 0.98× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) [Lälo](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/L%C3%A4lo) $69.73 107 gems $3,474 5,344 gems 49.82x 2026-11-11 00:45 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.73 107 gems $3,474 5,344 gems 49.82x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.73 107 gems $3,474 5,344 gems 49.82x 2026-11-09 03:57 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.73 107 gems $3,474 5,344 gems 49.82x 2026-11-08 22:18 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.73 107 gems $3,474 5,344 gems 49.82x 2026-11-08 00:18 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.73 107 gems $3,474 5,344 gems 49.82x 2026-11-07 19:15 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.73 107 gems $3,474 5,344 gems 49.82x 2026-11-07 19:08 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.73 107 gems $3,474 5,344 gems 49.82x 2026-11-07 12:16 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.73 107 gems $3,474 5,344 gems 49.82x 2026-11-07 08:16 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.73 107 gems $3,474 5,344 gems 49.82x 2026-11-06 19:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=not-criminal) [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.73 107 gems $11.80 18.15 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-battle-scarred) Hidden $69.73 107 gems $0.20 0.3 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-battle-scarred) [mi bombo](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/mi%20bombo) $69.73 107 gems $0.20 0.3 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:07 UTC [MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-battle-scarred) Hidden $69.73 107 gems $0.20 0.3 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:45 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.73 107 gems $11.80 18.15 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 17:45 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-minimal-wear) Hidden $69.73 107 gems $11.80 18.15 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 17:45 UTC [M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-minimal-wear) [Pejchyn](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Pejchyn) $69.73 107 gems $11.80 18.15 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 17:45 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $69.73 107 gems $16.13 24.81 gems 0.23x 2026-11-11 17:41 UTC [MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-battle-scarred) Hidden $69.73 107 gems $0.20 0.3 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:41 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $69.73 107 gems $214 329 gems 3.07x 2026-11-11 17:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $69.73 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 1.0% sunny 2.0% covert 17.0% mil spec 5.0% pink 20.0% #4b69ff 25.0% milspec 30.0% best hit $3,474 (49.82x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt