--- title: "not-new-welcome-case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "not-new-welcome-case ($0.07) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 98.38% over 8,976 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-new-welcome-case rendered: 2026-11-11T22:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [not-new-welcome-case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-new-welcome-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · not-new-welcome-case A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-new-welcome-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-new-welcome-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-new-welcome-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-new-welcome-case?window=all) Price · $0.07 · 0.1 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 98.38% · 8,976 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 28 openings · below min 7 days · 94.65% ±13.24 6,552 openings 30 days · 98.38% ±12.09 8,976 openings since tracking started · 98.38% ±12.09 8,976 openings 27.5% 121.0% 214.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-new-welcome-case?window=24h) | 28 | 121.07% ±92.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-new-welcome-case?window=7d) | 6,552 | 94.65% ±13.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-new-welcome-case) | 8,976 | 98.38% ±12.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/not-new-welcome-case?window=all) | 8,976 | 98.38% ±12.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=not-new-welcome-case) [Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.07 0.1 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.07 0.1 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [M249 | System Lock (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-system-lock-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.07 0.1 gems $0.04 0.06 gems 0.60x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [P90 | Freight (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-well-worn) [Butrint Imeri](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Butrint%20Imeri) $0.07 0.1 gems $0.01 0.02 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $0.07 0.1 gems $0.03 0.05 gems 0.50x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.07 0.1 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [MP5-SD | Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.07 0.1 gems \<$0.01 0.01 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [SG 553 | Cyberforce (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyberforce-field-tested) [Butrint Imeri](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Butrint%20Imeri) $0.07 0.1 gems $0.02 0.03 gems 0.30x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.07 0.1 gems $0.05 0.07 gems 0.70x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC [MP9 | Bioleak (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.07 0.1 gems $0.03 0.04 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 19:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 98.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $98.38 on average: an expected loss of $1.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt