--- title: "Oblivion case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Oblivion ($53.99) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 82.75% over 181 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oblivion rendered: 2026-11-11T13:49Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Oblivion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oblivion) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Oblivion A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oblivion?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oblivion?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oblivion) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oblivion?window=all) Price · $53.99 · 83.06 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $48.59 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.75% · 181 openings, odds method Variance · 2.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 69 openings · below min 30 days · 82.75% ±22.22 181 openings since tracking started · 82.75% ±22.22 181 openings -0.5% 65.5% 131.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oblivion?window=24h) | 18 | 60.18% ±70.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oblivion?window=7d) | 69 | 75.03% ±36.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oblivion) | 181 | 82.75% ±22.2 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oblivion?window=all) | 181 | 82.75% ±22.2 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 181 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $369 568 gems | 38.0% | 8 | 9.0 | 0.88× | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 15.0% | $93.04 143 gems | 28.7% | 23 | 27.1 | 0.85× | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 15.0% | $79.79 123 gems | 24.6% | 27 | 27.1 | 0.99× | | [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $32.64 50.21 gems | 3.4% | 11 | 9.0 | 1.22× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 15.0% | $6.57 10.1 gems | 2.0% | 31 | 27.1 | 1.14× | | [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 15.0% | $5.25 8.07 gems | 1.6% | 24 | 27.1 | 0.88× | | [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 15.0% | $4.79 7.37 gems | 1.5% | 28 | 27.1 | 1.03× | | [P90 \| Grim (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.51 0.78 gems | 0.2% | 29 | 27.2 | 1.07× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=oblivion) [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $53.99 83.06 gems $93.04 143 gems 1.72x 2026-11-10 22:48 UTC [M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) Hidden $53.99 83.06 gems $32.64 50.21 gems 0.60x 2026-11-10 22:48 UTC [Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) Hidden $53.99 83.06 gems $5.25 8.07 gems 0.10x 2026-11-10 22:48 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $53.99 83.06 gems $79.79 123 gems 1.48x 2026-11-10 22:48 UTC [AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) Hidden $53.99 83.06 gems $93.04 143 gems 1.72x 2026-11-10 22:48 UTC [P90 | Grim (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-factory-new) [Helqxz](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Helqxz) $53.99 83.06 gems $0.51 0.78 gems 0.01x 2026-11-10 22:48 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $53.99 83.06 gems $79.79 123 gems 1.48x 2026-11-10 19:35 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) Hidden $53.99 83.06 gems $6.57 10.1 gems 0.12x 2026-11-10 19:35 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $53.99 83.06 gems $79.79 123 gems 1.48x 2026-11-10 19:35 UTC [USP-S | Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) Hidden $53.99 83.06 gems $6.57 10.1 gems 0.12x 2026-11-10 19:35 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $53.99 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 40.0% classified 30.0% Legendary 15.0% Mil Spec 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt