--- title: "ObsidianGoat case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "ObsidianGoat ($147.17) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 22.09% over 6 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/obsidiangoat rendered: 2026-11-12T06:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [ObsidianGoat](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/obsidiangoat) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · ObsidianGoat A case on Clash.gg, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/obsidiangoat?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/obsidiangoat?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/obsidiangoat) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/obsidiangoat?window=all) Price · $147.17 · 226 gems Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 22.09% · 6 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 28.7% 58.0% **Small sample.** 6 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/obsidiangoat?window=24h) | 6 | 22.09% ±35.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/obsidiangoat?window=7d) | 6 | 22.09% ±35.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/obsidiangoat) | 6 | 22.09% ±35.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/obsidiangoat?window=all) | 6 | 22.09% ±35.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Clash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=obsidiangoat) [P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) Hidden $147 226 gems $6.17 9.49 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC [P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) Hidden $147 226 gems $6.17 9.49 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-night-factory-new) Hidden $147 226 gems $164 253 gems 1.12x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC [P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) Hidden $147 226 gems $6.17 9.49 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC [P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) Hidden $147 226 gems $6.17 9.49 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC [P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-factory-new) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $147 226 gems $6.17 9.49 gems 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 22.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $22.09 on average: an expected loss of $77.91 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt