---
title: "Oil Field case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Oil Field ($687.45) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 95.21% over 150 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-field
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Oil Field](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-field)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Oil Field

A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-field?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-field?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-field) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-field?window=all)

Price · $687.45 · 1,058 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $618.70 from 6 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 95.21% · 150 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 42 openings · below min

7 days · 96.03% ±27.72 144 openings

30 days · 95.21% ±27.16 150 openings

since tracking started · 95.21% ±27.16 150 openings

52.5% 104.5% 156.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-field?window=24h) | 42 | 104.55% ±51.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-field?window=7d) | 144 | 96.03% ±27.7 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-field) | 150 | 95.21% ±27.2 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-field?window=all) | 150 | 95.21% ±27.2 | +0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 150 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 20.0% | $2,951 4,540 gems | 95.4% | 32 | 30.0 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new) | 20.0% | $93.54 144 gems | 3.0% | 24 | 30.0 | 0.80× |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) | 15.0% | $61.13 94.04 gems | 1.5% | 23 | 22.5 | 1.02× |
| [P250 \| Dark Filigree (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-dark-filigree-factory-new) | 15.0% | $3.62 5.57 gems | 0.1% | 23 | 22.5 | 1.02× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.19 0.29 gems | 0.0% | 27 | 22.5 | 1.20× |
| [MP5-SD \| Dirt Drop (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.07 0.1 gems | 0.0% | 21 | 22.5 | 0.93× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) [Mochi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mochi) $687 1,058 gems $2,951 4,540 gems 4.29x 2026-11-11 00:33 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $687 1,058 gems $2,951 4,540 gems 4.29x 2026-11-11 00:33 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $687 1,058 gems $2,951 4,540 gems 4.29x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $687 1,058 gems $2,951 4,540 gems 4.29x 2026-11-11 00:27 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $687 1,058 gems $2,951 4,540 gems 4.29x 2026-11-11 00:25 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $687 1,058 gems $2,951 4,540 gems 4.29x 2026-11-11 00:25 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $687 1,058 gems $2,951 4,540 gems 4.29x 2026-11-11 00:24 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) [Mochi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mochi) $687 1,058 gems $2,951 4,540 gems 4.29x 2026-11-11 00:24 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $687 1,058 gems $2,951 4,540 gems 4.29x 2026-11-11 00:22 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $687 1,058 gems $2,951 4,540 gems 4.29x 2026-11-11 00:19 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=oil-field)

[AK-47 | Black Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $687 1,058 gems $93.54 144 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 00:33 UTC

[MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-dirt-drop-factory-new) Hidden $687 1,058 gems $0.07 0.1 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:33 UTC

[M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) Hidden $687 1,058 gems $61.13 94.04 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 00:33 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $687 1,058 gems $2,951 4,540 gems 4.29x 2026-11-11 00:33 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $687 1,058 gems $0.19 0.29 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:33 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) [Mochi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mochi) $687 1,058 gems $2,951 4,540 gems 4.29x 2026-11-11 00:33 UTC

[AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) Hidden $687 1,058 gems $2,951 4,540 gems 4.29x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC

[AK-47 | Black Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new) Hidden $687 1,058 gems $93.54 144 gems 0.14x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $687 1,058 gems $0.19 0.29 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-factory-new) Hidden $687 1,058 gems $0.19 0.29 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $687 | 90.00% | 6 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 35.0% mil spec 20.0% industrial 15.0% Rare 15.0% Consumer Grade 15.0% best hit $2,951 (4.29x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
