--- title: "Oil Money case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Oil Money ($1,303.81) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 87.45% over 150 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-money rendered: 2026-11-11T23:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Oil Money](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-money) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Oil Money A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-money?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-money?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-money) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-money?window=all) Price · $1,303.81 · 2,006 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,173.42 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.45% · 150 openings, odds method Variance · 6.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 42 openings · below min 7 days · 87.45% ±41.67 150 openings 30 days · 87.45% ±41.67 150 openings since tracking started · 87.45% ±41.67 150 openings 12.5% 92.0% 171.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-money?window=24h) | 42 | 91.97% ±78.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-money?window=7d) | 150 | 87.45% ±41.7 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-money) | 150 | 87.45% ±41.7 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oil-money?window=all) | 150 | 87.45% ±41.7 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 150 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $17.2K 26,400 gems | 58.5% | 6 | 6.0 | 1.00× | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $3,078 4,735 gems | 15.7% | 5 | 9.0 | 0.56× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $2,380 3,661 gems | 16.2% | 16 | 12.0 | 1.33× | | [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $1,098 1,689 gems | 7.5% | 10 | 12.0 | 0.83× | | [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) | 14.0% | $170 262 gems | 2.0% | 21 | 21.0 | 1.00× | | [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.97 1.49 gems | 0.0% | 28 | 30.0 | 0.93× | | [Dual Berettas \| Oil Change (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-oil-change-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.33 0.51 gems | 0.0% | 26 | 30.0 | 0.87× | | [Sticker \| Dirty Money sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dirty-money) | 20.0% | $0.29 0.44 gems | 0.0% | 38 | 30.0 | 1.27× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $17.2K 26,400 gems 13.16x 2026-11-11 00:26 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $17.2K 26,400 gems 13.16x 2026-11-10 02:51 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $17.2K 26,400 gems 13.16x 2026-11-09 11:23 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $17.2K 26,400 gems 13.16x 2026-11-09 00:50 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $17.2K 26,400 gems 13.16x 2026-11-07 01:18 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $17.2K 26,400 gems 13.16x 2026-11-07 01:07 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $3,078 4,735 gems 2.36x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $3,078 4,735 gems 2.36x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $3,078 4,735 gems 2.36x 2026-11-11 00:24 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $3,078 4,735 gems 2.36x 2026-11-10 03:07 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=oil-money) [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $3,078 4,735 gems 2.36x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $3,078 4,735 gems 2.36x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $2,380 3,661 gems 1.83x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [Sticker | Dirty Money sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dirty-money) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $0.29 0.44 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $0.97 1.49 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) [Mochi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mochi) $1,304 2,006 gems $0.97 1.49 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $2,380 3,661 gems 1.83x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-oil-change-factory-new) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $0.33 0.51 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [Sticker | Dirty Money sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dirty-money) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $0.29 0.44 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $1,304 2,006 gems $2,380 3,661 gems 1.83x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $1,304 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed contraband 4.0% covert 22.0% #d32ee6 14.0% restricted 20.0% Consumer Grade 20.0% High Grade 20.0% best hit $17.2K (13.16x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt