--- title: "Olympus case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Olympus ($146.11) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 95.00% over 206 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/olympus rendered: 2026-11-11T22:14Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Olympus](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/olympus) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Olympus A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/olympus?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/olympus?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/olympus) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/olympus?window=all) Price · $146.11 · 225 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $131.50 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 95.00% · 206 openings, odds method Variance · 5.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 32 openings · below min 7 days · 102.40% ±33.32 186 openings 30 days · 95.00% ±31.66 206 openings since tracking started · 95.00% ±31.66 206 openings -0.5% 74.5% 149.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/olympus?window=24h) | 32 | 68.77% ±80.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/olympus?window=7d) | 186 | 102.40% ±33.3 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/olympus) | 206 | 95.00% ±31.7 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/olympus?window=all) | 206 | 95.00% ±31.7 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 206 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $1,852 2,850 gems | 42.3% | 8 | 6.2 | 1.29× | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $564 867 gems | 30.0% | 11 | 14.4 | 0.76× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 10.0% | $255 393 gems | 19.4% | 23 | 20.6 | 1.12× | | [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-factory-new) | 10.0% | $38.84 59.76 gems | 3.0% | 22 | 20.6 | 1.07× | | [USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 10.0% | $32.17 49.49 gems | 2.4% | 14 | 20.6 | 0.68× | | [Sticker \| GODSENT (Holo) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-godsent-holo-atlanta-2017) | 20.0% | $15.91 24.47 gems | 2.4% | 29 | 41.2 | 0.70× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-sacrifice-factory-new) | 20.0% | $3.06 4.7 gems | 0.5% | 51 | 41.2 | 1.24× | | [Sticker \| Baby Medusa sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-medusa) | 20.0% | $0.18 0.28 gems | 0.0% | 48 | 41.2 | 1.17× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) Hidden $146 225 gems $1,852 2,850 gems 12.68x 2026-11-10 21:56 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) Hidden $146 225 gems $1,852 2,850 gems 12.68x 2026-11-10 19:33 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) [Bottavious](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Bottavious) $146 225 gems $1,852 2,850 gems 12.68x 2026-11-10 19:30 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) Hidden $146 225 gems $1,852 2,850 gems 12.68x 2026-11-08 22:30 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) Hidden $146 225 gems $1,852 2,850 gems 12.68x 2026-11-06 10:35 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) Hidden $146 225 gems $1,852 2,850 gems 12.68x 2026-11-05 19:24 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) Hidden $146 225 gems $1,852 2,850 gems 12.68x 2026-11-05 19:22 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) Hidden $146 225 gems $1,852 2,850 gems 12.68x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) Hidden $146 225 gems $564 867 gems 3.86x 2026-11-11 17:59 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) Hidden $146 225 gems $564 867 gems 3.86x 2026-11-11 17:57 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=olympus) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $146 225 gems $255 393 gems 1.75x 2026-11-11 17:59 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) Hidden $146 225 gems $564 867 gems 3.86x 2026-11-11 17:59 UTC [Sticker | GODSENT (Holo) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-godsent-holo-atlanta-2017) Hidden $146 225 gems $15.91 24.47 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 17:59 UTC [Sticker | GODSENT (Holo) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-godsent-holo-atlanta-2017) Hidden $146 225 gems $15.91 24.47 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 17:59 UTC [Sticker | Baby Medusa sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-medusa) Hidden $146 225 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:57 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) Hidden $146 225 gems $564 867 gems 3.86x 2026-11-11 17:57 UTC [Sticker | GODSENT (Holo) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-godsent-holo-atlanta-2017) Hidden $146 225 gems $15.91 24.47 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 17:57 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $146 225 gems $255 393 gems 1.75x 2026-11-11 17:57 UTC [Sticker | Baby Medusa sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-medusa) Hidden $146 225 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC [Sticker | Baby Medusa sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-medusa) Hidden $146 225 gems $0.18 0.28 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $146 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 13.0% classified 17.0% restricted 10.0% remarkable 20.0% #4b69ff 20.0% high 20.0% best hit $1,852 (12.68x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt