--- title: "Oni Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Oni Case ($60.04) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds, observed 80.19% over 224 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oni-case rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Oni Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oni-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Oni Case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oni-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oni-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oni-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oni-case?window=all) Price · $60.04 · 92.37 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $54.04 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 80.19% · 224 openings, odds method Variance · 3.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 15 openings · below min 7 days · 75.34% ±28.39 178 openings 30 days · 80.19% ±25.30 224 openings since tracking started · 80.19% ±25.30 224 openings 9.5% 107.8% 206.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oni-case?window=24h) | 15 | 107.74% ±97.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oni-case?window=7d) | 178 | 75.34% ±28.4 | −1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oni-case) | 224 | 80.19% ±25.3 | −0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/oni-case?window=all) | 224 | 80.19% ±25.3 | −0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 230 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $598 920 gems | 22.1% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.87× | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $444 684 gems | 16.4% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.87× | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $357 550 gems | 13.2% | 3 | 4.6 | 0.65× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $284 437 gems | 10.5% | 3 | 4.6 | 0.65× | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $182 280 gems | 6.7% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.09× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $39.46 60.71 gems | 7.3% | 27 | 23.0 | 1.17× | | [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 20.0% | $31.01 47.7 gems | 11.5% | 48 | 46.0 | 1.04× | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 20.0% | $20.03 30.82 gems | 7.4% | 47 | 46.0 | 1.02× | | [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $8.47 13.03 gems | 3.1% | 49 | 46.0 | 1.07× | | [AWP \| Green Energy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $4.36 6.7 gems | 1.6% | 40 | 46.0 | 0.87× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $60.04 92.37 gems $598 920 gems 9.96x 2026-11-10 23:00 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $60.04 92.37 gems $598 920 gems 9.96x 2026-11-05 03:25 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $60.04 92.37 gems $598 920 gems 9.96x 2026-11-04 15:58 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $60.04 92.37 gems $598 920 gems 9.96x 2026-11-03 17:44 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=oni-case) [AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $60.04 92.37 gems $39.46 60.71 gems 0.66x 2026-11-11 04:20 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) Hidden $60.04 92.37 gems $20.03 30.82 gems 0.33x 2026-11-11 04:20 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) [Clever Beaver](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Clever%20Beaver) $60.04 92.37 gems $20.03 30.82 gems 0.33x 2026-11-11 04:20 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) Hidden $60.04 92.37 gems $20.03 30.82 gems 0.33x 2026-11-10 23:00 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) Hidden $60.04 92.37 gems $20.03 30.82 gems 0.33x 2026-11-10 23:00 UTC [AWP | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) Hidden $60.04 92.37 gems $8.47 13.03 gems 0.14x 2026-11-10 23:00 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) Hidden $60.04 92.37 gems $598 920 gems 9.96x 2026-11-10 23:00 UTC [AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) Hidden $60.04 92.37 gems $20.03 30.82 gems 0.33x 2026-11-10 23:00 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) [Helqxz](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Helqxz) $60.04 92.37 gems $39.46 60.71 gems 0.66x 2026-11-10 23:00 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $60.04 92.37 gems $39.46 60.71 gems 0.66x 2026-11-10 22:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $60.04 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 60.0% classified 20.0% #d32ce6 20.0% best hit $598 (9.96x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt