--- title: "Onslaught case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Onslaught ($32.60) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 102.52% over 4,306 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/onslaught rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Onslaught](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/onslaught) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Onslaught A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/onslaught?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/onslaught?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/onslaught) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/onslaught?window=all) Price · $32.60 · 50.15 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $29.33 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 102.52% · 4,306 openings, odds method Variance · 58.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 167 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 487 openings · below min 7 days · 99.08% ±25.66 3,440 openings 30 days · 102.52% ±22.93 4,306 openings since tracking started · 102.52% ±22.93 4,306 openings -0.5% 66.5% 133.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/onslaught?window=24h) | 487 | 64.83% ±68.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/onslaught?window=7d) | 3,440 | 99.08% ±25.7 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/onslaught) | 4,306 | 102.52% ±22.9 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/onslaught?window=all) | 4,306 | 102.52% ±22.9 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,407 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 333 | $4,254 6,545 gems | 43.5% | 17 | 13.2 | 1.29× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $1,220 1,877 gems | 12.5% | 14 | 13.2 | 1.06× | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $835 1,285 gems | 11.4% | 23 | 17.6 | 1.30× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $518 796 gems | 8.8% | 15 | 22.0 | 0.68× | | [AUG \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $264 405 gems | 4.5% | 21 | 22.0 | 0.95× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $95.41 147 gems | 6.5% | 75 | 88.1 | 0.85× | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $48.69 74.91 gems | 3.3% | 80 | 88.1 | 0.91× | | [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $28.65 44.08 gems | 2.0% | 97 | 88.1 | 1.10× | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $11.11 17.09 gems | 2.7% | 318 | 308.5 | 1.03× | | [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $4.35 6.69 gems | 2.2% | 668 | 661.0 | 1.01× | | [FAMAS \| Styx (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-field-tested) | 30.0% | $1.94 2.98 gems | 2.0% | 1,302 | 1322.1 | 0.98× | | [UMP-45 \| Full Stop (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-battle-scarred) | 40.0% | $0.49 0.76 gems | 0.7% | 1,777 | 1762.8 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $32.60 50.15 gems $4,254 6,545 gems 130.5x 2026-11-10 17:05 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $32.60 50.15 gems $4,254 6,545 gems 130.5x 2026-11-10 08:36 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $32.60 50.15 gems $4,254 6,545 gems 130.5x 2026-11-09 21:21 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $32.60 50.15 gems $4,254 6,545 gems 130.5x 2026-11-09 16:48 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) [Dartt](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Dartt) $32.60 50.15 gems $4,254 6,545 gems 130.5x 2026-11-09 00:53 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $32.60 50.15 gems $4,254 6,545 gems 130.5x 2026-11-07 22:52 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $32.60 50.15 gems $4,254 6,545 gems 130.5x 2026-11-07 22:23 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $32.60 50.15 gems $4,254 6,545 gems 130.5x 2026-11-06 10:58 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $32.60 50.15 gems $4,254 6,545 gems 130.5x 2026-11-06 09:50 UTC [Sticker | LGB eSports (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) [one of wun](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/one%20of%20wun) $32.60 50.15 gems $4,254 6,545 gems 130.5x 2026-11-05 10:37 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=onslaught) [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-battle-scarred) Hidden $32.60 50.15 gems $0.49 0.76 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [FAMAS | Styx (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-field-tested) Hidden $32.60 50.15 gems $1.94 2.98 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [FAMAS | Styx (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-field-tested) Hidden $32.60 50.15 gems $1.94 2.98 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-battle-scarred) Hidden $32.60 50.15 gems $0.49 0.76 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [FAMAS | Styx (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-field-tested) Hidden $32.60 50.15 gems $1.94 2.98 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) [TwitchBaleszko](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/TwitchBaleszko) $32.60 50.15 gems $11.11 17.09 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:22 UTC [SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.60 50.15 gems $4.35 6.69 gems 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $32.60 50.15 gems $518 796 gems 15.88x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-battle-scarred) Hidden $32.60 50.15 gems $0.49 0.76 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-battle-scarred) Hidden $32.60 50.15 gems $0.49 0.76 gems 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $32.60 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 0.3% covert 1.2% mil spec 0.5% extraordinary 2.0% classified 11.0% pink 15.0% violet 30.0% #4b69ff 40.0% best hit $4,254 (130.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt