---
title: "Operation Hydra Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Operation Hydra Case ($15.72) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 41 items with odds, observed 111.39% over 2,357 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-hydra-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Operation Hydra Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-hydra-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Operation Hydra Case

A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-hydra-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-hydra-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-hydra-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-hydra-case?window=all)

Price · $15.72 · 24.19 gems

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $14.15 from 41 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 111.39% · 2,357 openings, odds method

Variance · 255.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 182 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 303 openings · below min

7 days · 122.27% ±70.23 1,993 openings

30 days · 111.39% ±64.58 2,357 openings

since tracking started · 111.39% ±64.58 2,357 openings

-0.5% 116.8% 234.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-hydra-case?window=24h) | 303 | 53.33% ±180.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-hydra-case?window=7d) | 1,993 | 122.27% ±70.2 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-hydra-case) | 2,357 | 111.39% ±64.6 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-hydra-case?window=all) | 2,357 | 111.39% ±64.6 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,429 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $17.6K 27,095 gems | 12.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $8,651 13,310 gems | 6.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $8,441 12,986 gems | 6.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $7,756 11,933 gems | 5.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $7,300 11,231 gems | 5.2% | 3 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,570 10,108 gems | 4.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $3,055 4,701 gems | 2.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,494 2,298 gems | 1.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Foundation (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-foundation-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,311 2,017 gems | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,234 1,898 gems | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $984 1,513 gems | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Eclipse (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-eclipse-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $741 1,140 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Lunar Weave (Factory New) gloves · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-lunar-weave-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $593 913 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $519 799 gems | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Boom! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $511 786 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Leather (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-leather-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $493 758 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $465 716 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $415 639 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Spruce DDPAT (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-spruce-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $395 608 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Badlands (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-badlands-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $394 606 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Bronzed (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $376 579 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Guerrilla (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $360 554 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $319 491 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $262 403 gems | 5.9% | 10 | 7.8 | 1.29× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-convoy-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $228 351 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $51.69 79.52 gems | 1.2% | 10 | 7.8 | 1.29× |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $36.63 56.35 gems | 2.8% | 22 | 25.9 | 0.85× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $32.89 50.6 gems | 2.5% | 29 | 25.9 | 1.12× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $30.05 46.23 gems | 2.3% | 26 | 25.9 | 1.00× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 11.4% | $16.75 25.77 gems | 13.5% | 267 | 277.3 | 0.96× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $15.00 23.07 gems | 3.4% | 71 | 77.6 | 0.91× |
| [M4A1-S \| Briefing (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-factory-new) | 11.4% | $5.80 8.93 gems | 4.7% | 277 | 277.3 | 1.00× |
| [P250 \| Red Rock (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $5.67 8.73 gems | 1.3% | 70 | 77.6 | 0.90× |
| [P2000 \| Woodsman (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $5.44 8.37 gems | 1.2% | 86 | 77.6 | 1.11× |
| [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $5.07 7.8 gems | 1.1% | 87 | 77.6 | 1.12× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $4.97 7.65 gems | 1.1% | 78 | 77.6 | 1.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-factory-new) | 11.4% | $4.89 7.52 gems | 3.9% | 272 | 277.3 | 0.98× |
| [MAC-10 \| Aloha (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-aloha-factory-new) | 11.4% | $1.74 2.68 gems | 1.4% | 264 | 277.3 | 0.95× |
| [MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-factory-new) | 11.4% | $1.73 2.66 gems | 1.4% | 272 | 277.3 | 0.98× |
| [FAMAS \| Macabre (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-factory-new) | 11.4% | $1.70 2.62 gems | 1.4% | 256 | 277.3 | 0.92× |
| [UMP-45 \| Metal Flowers (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-metal-flowers-factory-new) | 11.4% | $1.61 2.48 gems | 1.3% | 327 | 277.9 | 1.18× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $15.72 24.19 gems $7,300 11,231 gems 464.3x 2026-11-09 21:22 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $15.72 24.19 gems $7,300 11,231 gems 464.3x 2026-11-06 23:06 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) [Slyckety](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Slyckety) $15.72 24.19 gems $7,300 11,231 gems 464.3x 2026-11-05 04:55 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-factory-new) [$12K LB Wasted.bet](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%2412K%20LB%20Wasted.bet) $15.72 24.19 gems $1,494 2,298 gems 95.00x 2026-11-06 21:10 UTC

[★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-factory-new) Hidden $15.72 24.19 gems $519 799 gems 33.03x 2026-11-05 00:46 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=operation-hydra-case)

[USP-S | Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) Hidden $15.72 24.19 gems $16.75 25.77 gems 1.07x 2026-11-11 09:37 UTC

[M4A1-S | Briefing (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-factory-new) Hidden $15.72 24.19 gems $5.80 8.93 gems 0.37x 2026-11-11 09:37 UTC

[M4A1-S | Briefing (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-factory-new) Hidden $15.72 24.19 gems $5.80 8.93 gems 0.37x 2026-11-11 09:37 UTC

[UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-metal-flowers-factory-new) Hidden $15.72 24.19 gems $1.61 2.48 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 09:37 UTC

[FAMAS | Macabre (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-factory-new) Hidden $15.72 24.19 gems $1.70 2.62 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 09:37 UTC

[AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) [super tomato](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/super%20tomato) $15.72 24.19 gems $15.00 23.07 gems 0.95x 2026-11-11 09:37 UTC

[UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-metal-flowers-factory-new) Hidden $15.72 24.19 gems $1.61 2.48 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 09:22 UTC

[M4A1-S | Briefing (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-factory-new) Hidden $15.72 24.19 gems $5.80 8.93 gems 0.37x 2026-11-11 09:22 UTC

[FAMAS | Macabre (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-factory-new) Hidden $15.72 24.19 gems $1.70 2.62 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 09:22 UTC

[UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-metal-flowers-factory-new) Hidden $15.72 24.19 gems $1.61 2.48 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 09:22 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $15.72 | 90.00% | 41 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.1% legendary 0.1% Extraordinary 0.0% #eb4b4b 0.0% covert 0.6% classified 3.2% mil spec 45.7% restricted 16.0% #4b69ff 22.9% milspec 11.4% best hit $7,300 (464.3x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt