---
title: "Operation Riptide Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Operation Riptide Case ($3.71) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.94% from 47 items with odds, observed 99.05% over 3,772 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Operation Riptide Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Operation Riptide Case

A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case?window=all)

Price · $3.71 · 5.71 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.94% · EV $3.34 from 47 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 99.05% · 3,772 openings, odds method

Variance · 76.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 66.87% ±93.44 338 openings

7 days · 94.74% ±30.02 3,275 openings

30 days · 99.05% ±27.97 3,772 openings

since tracking started · 99.05% ±27.97 3,772 openings

-0.5% 80.3% 161.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case?window=24h) | 338 | 66.87% ±93.4 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case?window=7d) | 3,275 | 94.74% ±30.0 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case) | 3,772 | 99.05% ±28.0 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-riptide-case?window=all) | 3,772 | 99.05% ±28.0 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,884 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $2,509 3,861 gems | 6.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,717 2,641 gems | 4.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,332 2,050 gems | 3.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $793 1,221 gems | 1.9% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $647 996 gems | 1.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $639 982 gems | 1.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $255 393 gems | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $230 354 gems | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $222 341 gems | 0.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $222 341 gems | 0.5% | 3 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $190 292 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $167 256 gems | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $164 252 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $161 248 gems | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $149 230 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $131 201 gems | 0.3% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $117 180 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $103 158 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $95.17 146 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $94.90 146 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $91.98 142 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $91.71 141 gems | 0.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $87.60 135 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $83.54 129 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $83.27 128 gems | 0.2% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $83.04 128 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $77.38 119 gems | 0.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $71.90 111 gems | 6.9% | 8 | 12.4 | 0.64× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $68.45 105 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $66.57 102 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $64.79 99.67 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $47.50 73.08 gems | 4.6% | 17 | 12.4 | 1.37× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $9.69 14.9 gems | 3.1% | 31 | 41.4 | 0.75× |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $8.92 13.72 gems | 2.8% | 45 | 41.4 | 1.09× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $8.54 13.14 gems | 8.2% | 107 | 124.1 | 0.86× |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $8.22 12.64 gems | 2.6% | 55 | 41.4 | 1.33× |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $5.92 9.11 gems | 5.7% | 129 | 124.1 | 1.04× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 11.4% | $4.13 6.35 gems | 14.1% | 471 | 443.4 | 1.06× |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $2.81 4.32 gems | 2.7% | 110 | 124.1 | 0.89× |
| [XM1014 \| Watchdog (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) | 11.4% | $2.18 3.35 gems | 7.4% | 466 | 443.4 | 1.05× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.81 2.79 gems | 1.7% | 127 | 124.1 | 1.02× |
| [MAG-7 \| BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bi83-spectrum-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.27 1.95 gems | 1.2% | 117 | 124.1 | 0.94× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Tread (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-tread-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.84 1.29 gems | 2.9% | 425 | 443.4 | 0.96× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Lumen (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-lumen-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.79 1.22 gems | 2.7% | 422 | 443.4 | 0.95× |
| [MP7 \| Guerrilla (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-guerrilla-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.79 1.21 gems | 2.7% | 432 | 443.4 | 0.97× |
| [G3SG1 \| Keeping Tabs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-keeping-tabs-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.74 1.14 gems | 2.5% | 456 | 443.4 | 1.03× |
| [AUG \| Plague (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-factory-new) | 11.4% | $0.70 1.08 gems | 2.4% | 450 | 444.3 | 1.01× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $1,332 2,050 gems 358.9x 2026-11-09 15:12 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) [YuanPi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/YuanPi) $3.71 5.71 gems $793 1,221 gems 213.8x 2026-11-03 02:49 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $639 982 gems 172.1x 2026-11-05 09:47 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $255 393 gems 68.82x 2026-11-04 11:53 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $222 341 gems 59.70x 2026-11-10 05:45 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $222 341 gems 59.68x 2026-11-05 00:09 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $222 341 gems 59.68x 2026-11-04 06:44 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [SyKriS](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/SyKriS) $3.71 5.71 gems $222 341 gems 59.68x 2026-11-02 22:48 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=operation-riptide-case)

[G3SG1 | Keeping Tabs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-keeping-tabs-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $0.74 1.14 gems 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bi83-spectrum-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $1.27 1.95 gems 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[AUG | Plague (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-factory-new) [Winksy89](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Winksy89) $3.71 5.71 gems $0.70 1.08 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC

[AUG | Plague (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $0.70 1.08 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[XM1014 | Watchdog (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-watchdog-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $2.18 3.35 gems 0.59x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) [Winksy89](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Winksy89) $3.71 5.71 gems $8.92 13.72 gems 2.40x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Lumen (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-lumen-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $0.79 1.22 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[USP-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $4.13 6.35 gems 1.11x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[AUG | Plague (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-factory-new) [Winksy89](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Winksy89) $3.71 5.71 gems $0.70 1.08 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Lumen (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-lumen-factory-new) Hidden $3.71 5.71 gems $0.79 1.22 gems 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $3.71 | 89.94% | 47 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 11.4% covert 0.7% gold 0.0% covert knife 0.0% sunny 0.0% Covert 0.0% Immortal 0.0% rare 0.0% classified 3.2% restricted 9.6% violet 3.2% mil spec 34.3% Mythical 3.2% Mil Spec Grade 22.9% Mil Spec 11.4% best hit $1,332 (358.9x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.94 on average: an expected loss of $10.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt