---
title: "Operation Vanguard Weapon Case on Clash.gg: odds & RTP"
description: "Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops. Independent and free, no sign-up. Figures from public feeds and chains."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-vanguard-weapon-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:37Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Operation Vanguard Weapon Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-vanguard-weapon-case)

# [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Operation Vanguard Weapon Case

A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-vanguard-weapon-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-vanguard-weapon-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-vanguard-weapon-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-vanguard-weapon-case?window=all)

Price · $3.58 · 5.51 gems

Advertised RTP · 89.92% · EV $3.22 from 79 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 75.10% · 6,272 openings, odds method

Variance · 131.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 185 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 91.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 581 openings · below min

7 days · 77.25% ±31.18 5,183 openings

30 days · 75.10% ±28.35 6,272 openings

since tracking started · 75.10% ±28.35 6,272 openings

-0.5% 82.8% 166.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-vanguard-weapon-case?window=24h) | 581 | 72.10% ±93.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-vanguard-weapon-case?window=7d) | 5,183 | 77.25% ±31.2 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-vanguard-weapon-case) | 6,272 | 75.10% ±28.3 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/operation-vanguard-weapon-case?window=all) | 6,272 | 75.10% ±28.3 | −1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 79 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,306 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $3,684 5,667 gems | 4.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $3,119 4,799 gems | 3.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $1,576 2,425 gems | 2.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $1,277 1,964 gems | 1.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $1,169 1,798 gems | 1.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $1,049 1,614 gems | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $1,049 1,614 gems | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-night-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $943 1,451 gems | 1.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $800 1,230 gems | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $780 1,200 gems | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit) | 1 in 25,000 | $770 1,185 gems | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet) | 1 in 25,000 | $760 1,169 gems | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $747 1,150 gems | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $735 1,131 gems | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $702 1,080 gems | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $614 945 gems | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $611 940 gems | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $568 874 gems | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $567 873 gems | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $541 832 gems | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $487 749 gems | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $483 742 gems | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $458 704 gems | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $456 702 gems | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $442 681 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $442 680 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $429 660 gems | 0.5% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $429 660 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $413 636 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $394 606 gems | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $388 597 gems | 0.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $358 550 gems | 0.4% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $354 545 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $351 540 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $300 461 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet) | 1 in 25,000 | $284 436 gems | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $270 415 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $255 393 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $255 393 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $228 350 gems | 0.3% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $223 343 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $212 325 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $211 325 gems | 0.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife) | 1 in 25,000 | $211 324 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $210 323 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $209 321 gems | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $201 309 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $194 299 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $182 281 gems | 0.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $155 239 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $155 238 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $143 220 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $139 214 gems | 0.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $135 208 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $133 205 gems | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $118 182 gems | 11.8% | 34 | 20.2 | 1.68× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $109 167 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $85.51 132 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife) | 1 in 25,000 | $80.67 124 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $78.01 120 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $75.74 117 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $74.56 115 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $73.63 113 gems | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Night (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-night-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $66.05 102 gems | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $63.30 97.38 gems | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $62.86 96.7 gems | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 313 | $12.56 19.32 gems | 1.2% | 11 | 20.2 | 0.55× |
| [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $10.19 15.68 gems | 3.4% | 57 | 67.2 | 0.85× |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $7.46 11.48 gems | 2.5% | 73 | 67.2 | 1.09× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-factory-new) | 1 in 94 | $6.96 10.7 gems | 2.3% | 54 | 67.2 | 0.80× |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $6.18 9.51 gems | 7.7% | 239 | 251.9 | 0.95× |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $2.60 4 gems | 3.2% | 226 | 251.9 | 0.90× |
| [MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) | 16.0% | $2.23 3.43 gems | 11.1% | 998 | 1008.0 | 0.99× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Highwayman (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-highwayman-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $1.75 2.69 gems | 2.2% | 239 | 251.9 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $1.11 1.7 gems | 1.4% | 253 | 251.9 | 1.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Delusion (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-delusion-factory-new) | 16.0% | $0.98 1.5 gems | 4.8% | 1,039 | 1008.0 | 1.03× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-factory-new) | 16.0% | $0.79 1.22 gems | 3.9% | 1,062 | 1008.0 | 1.05× |
| [MP9 \| Dart (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-factory-new) | 16.0% | $0.37 0.57 gems | 1.8% | 976 | 1008.0 | 0.97× |
| [G3SG1 \| Murky (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-murky-factory-new) | 16.0% | $0.34 0.53 gems | 1.7% | 1,031 | 1008.1 | 1.02× |

Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-stained-factory-new) Hidden $3.58 5.51 gems $541 832 gems 151.0x 2026-11-05 10:45 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-factory-new) [喇嘛](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/%E5%96%87%E5%98%9B) $3.58 5.51 gems $429 660 gems 119.7x 2026-11-10 12:25 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-boreal-forest-factory-new) Hidden $3.58 5.51 gems $429 660 gems 119.7x 2026-11-09 19:19 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-urban-masked-factory-new) Hidden $3.58 5.51 gems $388 597 gems 108.4x 2026-11-08 20:23 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $3.58 5.51 gems $358 550 gems 99.82x 2026-11-04 00:01 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [Vortex](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Vortex) $3.58 5.51 gems $358 550 gems 99.82x 2026-11-03 23:41 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) [paris0743](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/paris0743) $3.58 5.51 gems $228 350 gems 63.52x 2026-11-10 04:48 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) [certified boogeyman](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/certified%20boogeyman) $3.58 5.51 gems $228 350 gems 63.52x 2026-11-06 06:49 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-safari-mesh-factory-new) [Bomba](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Bomba) $3.58 5.51 gems $211 325 gems 58.98x 2026-11-05 05:17 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $3.58 5.51 gems $182 281 gems 50.93x 2026-11-11 08:50 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=operation-vanguard-weapon-case)

[Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-factory-new) Hidden $3.58 5.51 gems $0.79 1.22 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) Hidden $3.58 5.51 gems $2.23 3.43 gems 0.62x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-factory-new) Hidden $3.58 5.51 gems $0.79 1.22 gems 0.22x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[MP9 | Dart (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-factory-new) Hidden $3.58 5.51 gems $0.37 0.57 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) Hidden $3.58 5.51 gems $6.18 9.51 gems 1.73x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[MAG-7 | Firestarter (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-firestarter-factory-new) [LouisInRussian](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/LouisInRussian) $3.58 5.51 gems $2.23 3.43 gems 0.62x 2026-11-11 18:35 UTC

[UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-delusion-factory-new) Hidden $3.58 5.51 gems $0.98 1.5 gems 0.27x 2026-11-11 18:32 UTC

[M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) Hidden $3.58 5.51 gems $6.18 9.51 gems 1.73x 2026-11-11 18:32 UTC

[UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-delusion-factory-new) Hidden $3.58 5.51 gems $0.98 1.5 gems 0.27x 2026-11-11 18:32 UTC

[G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-murky-factory-new) Hidden $3.58 5.51 gems $0.34 0.53 gems 0.10x 2026-11-11 18:32 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $3.58 | 89.92% | 79 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.8% Covert 0.0% Immortal 0.0% covert knife 0.0% knifes 0.0% sunny 0.0% classified 3.2% restricted 12.0% Mil Spec Grade 16.0% Mythical 4.0% Mil Spec 16.0% mil spec 48.0% best hit $541 (151.0x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.92 on average: an expected loss of $10.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt