--- title: "Opulent Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Opulent Case ($11.26) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.97% from 14 items with odds, observed 87.90% over 1,586 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/opulent-case rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Opulent Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/opulent-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Opulent Case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/opulent-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/opulent-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/opulent-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/opulent-case?window=all) Price · $11.26 · 17.32 gems Advertised RTP · 89.97% · EV $10.13 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.90% · 1,586 openings, odds method Variance · 13.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 76.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 55.07% ±71.03 106 openings 7 days · 89.70% ±19.46 1,413 openings 30 days · 87.90% ±18.36 1,586 openings since tracking started · 87.90% ±18.36 1,586 openings -0.5% 63.3% 127.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/opulent-case?window=24h) | 106 | 55.07% ±71.0 | −1.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/opulent-case?window=7d) | 1,413 | 89.70% ±19.5 | −0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/opulent-case) | 1,586 | 87.90% ±18.4 | −0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/opulent-case?window=all) | 1,586 | 87.90% ±18.4 | −0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,628 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $925 1,424 gems | 9.1% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $393 604 gems | 15.5% | 11 | 6.5 | 1.69× | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $244 375 gems | 12.0% | 10 | 8.1 | 1.23× | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $53.24 81.91 gems | 5.3% | 9 | 16.3 | 0.55× | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $39.53 60.82 gems | 3.9% | 7 | 16.3 | 0.43× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $29.77 45.8 gems | 2.9% | 9 | 16.3 | 0.55× | | [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $14.33 22.04 gems | 7.1% | 85 | 81.4 | 1.04× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $14.25 21.92 gems | 7.0% | 77 | 81.4 | 0.95× | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $12.29 18.91 gems | 6.1% | 67 | 81.4 | 0.82× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $11.69 17.98 gems | 5.8% | 88 | 81.4 | 1.08× | | [P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $6.12 9.42 gems | 3.0% | 83 | 81.4 | 1.02× | | [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $5.06 7.79 gems | 2.5% | 69 | 81.4 | 0.85× | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 33.0% | $3.43 5.28 gems | 11.2% | 555 | 537.2 | 1.03× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 33.0% | $2.63 4.05 gems | 8.6% | 558 | 537.3 | 1.04× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=opulent-case) [M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $11.26 17.32 gems $3.43 5.28 gems 0.30x 2026-11-11 08:42 UTC [M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $11.26 17.32 gems $3.43 5.28 gems 0.30x 2026-11-11 08:42 UTC [M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $11.26 17.32 gems $3.43 5.28 gems 0.30x 2026-11-11 08:42 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) [Smeef](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Smeef) $11.26 17.32 gems $2.63 4.05 gems 0.23x 2026-11-11 08:42 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) Hidden $11.26 17.32 gems $2.63 4.05 gems 0.23x 2026-11-11 07:29 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) Hidden $11.26 17.32 gems $2.63 4.05 gems 0.23x 2026-11-11 07:29 UTC [M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $11.26 17.32 gems $3.43 5.28 gems 0.30x 2026-11-11 07:29 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) Hidden $11.26 17.32 gems $2.63 4.05 gems 0.23x 2026-11-11 07:29 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) Hidden $11.26 17.32 gems $2.63 4.05 gems 0.23x 2026-11-11 07:29 UTC [M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) [MeowntinDew](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/MeowntinDew) $11.26 17.32 gems $3.43 5.28 gems 0.30x 2026-11-11 07:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $11.26 | 89.97% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 57.0% Legendary 5.0% classified 5.0% Ancient 33.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.97 on average: an expected loss of $10.03 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt