--- title: "Out for Blood case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Out for Blood ($1,194.03) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 7 items with odds, observed 51.95% over 126 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/out-for-blood rendered: 2026-11-11T22:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Out for Blood](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/out-for-blood) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Out for Blood A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/out-for-blood?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/out-for-blood?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/out-for-blood) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/out-for-blood?window=all) Price · $1,194.03 · 1,837 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $1,074.61 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 51.95% · 126 openings, odds method Variance · 6.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 42 openings · below min 7 days · 53.01% ±46.54 120 openings 30 days · 51.95% ±45.42 126 openings since tracking started · 51.95% ±45.42 126 openings -0.5% 53.8% 108.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/out-for-blood?window=24h) | 42 | 28.90% ±78.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/out-for-blood?window=7d) | 120 | 53.01% ±46.5 | −1.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/out-for-blood) | 126 | 51.95% ±45.4 | −1.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/out-for-blood?window=all) | 126 | 51.95% ±45.4 | −1.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 126 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $14.2K 21,800 gems | 65.9% | 3 | 6.3 | 0.48× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $3,249 4,999 gems | 15.1% | 3 | 6.3 | 0.48× | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1,933 2,975 gems | 9.0% | 6 | 6.3 | 0.95× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $845 1,300 gems | 3.9% | 6 | 6.3 | 0.95× | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 25.0% | $198 305 gems | 4.6% | 37 | 31.5 | 1.17× | | [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-factory-new) | 25.0% | $56.47 86.87 gems | 1.3% | 31 | 31.5 | 0.98× | | [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 30.0% | $3.53 5.43 gems | 0.1% | 40 | 37.8 | 1.06× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $14.2K 21,800 gems 11.87x 2026-11-06 00:13 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $14.2K 21,800 gems 11.87x 2026-11-06 00:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $14.2K 21,800 gems 11.87x 2026-11-05 13:20 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $3,249 4,999 gems 2.72x 2026-11-11 00:21 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $3,249 4,999 gems 2.72x 2026-11-10 02:47 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $3,249 4,999 gems 2.72x 2026-11-09 00:22 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $1,933 2,975 gems 1.62x 2026-11-11 00:25 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [Mochi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mochi) $1,194 1,837 gems $1,933 2,975 gems 1.62x 2026-11-11 00:24 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $1,933 2,975 gems 1.62x 2026-11-11 00:19 UTC [★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $1,933 2,975 gems 1.62x 2026-11-10 03:07 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=out-for-blood) [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $198 305 gems 0.17x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $3.53 5.43 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $3.53 5.43 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $3.53 5.43 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $3.53 5.43 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) [Mochi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mochi) $1,194 1,837 gems $3.53 5.43 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:32 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $845 1,300 gems 0.71x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $3.53 5.43 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $3.53 5.43 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-factory-new) Hidden $1,194 1,837 gems $56.47 86.87 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $1,194 | 90.00% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 15.0% knifes 5.0% covert 25.0% mil spec 25.0% Rare 30.0% best hit $14.2K (11.87x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt