--- title: "Overdraft Case case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Overdraft Case ($879.47) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 6 items with odds, observed 95.79% over 597 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/overdraft-case rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Overdraft Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/overdraft-case) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Overdraft Case A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/overdraft-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/overdraft-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/overdraft-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/overdraft-case?window=all) Price · $879.47 · 1,353 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $791.52 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 95.79% · 597 openings, odds method Variance · 11.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 78 openings · below min 7 days · 93.35% ±29.44 487 openings 30 days · 95.79% ±26.59 597 openings since tracking started · 95.79% ±26.59 597 openings 43.5% 117.8% 192.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/overdraft-case?window=24h) | 78 | 117.93% ±73.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/overdraft-case?window=7d) | 487 | 93.35% ±29.4 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/overdraft-case) | 597 | 95.79% ±26.6 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/overdraft-case?window=all) | 597 | 95.79% ±26.6 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 603 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $25.3K 38,986 gems | 32.0% | 8 | 6.0 | 1.33× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $9,230 14,200 gems | 23.3% | 13 | 12.1 | 1.08× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 50 | $4,874 7,499 gems | 12.3% | 9 | 12.1 | 0.75× | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $3,100 4,769 gems | 19.6% | 26 | 30.2 | 0.86× | | [★ Karambit \| Vanilla knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-vanilla) | 10.0% | $657 1,010 gems | 8.3% | 58 | 60.3 | 0.96× | | [Operation Bravo Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-bravo-case) | 80.0% | $44.19 67.99 gems | 4.5% | 489 | 482.4 | 1.01× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $879 1,353 gems $25.3K 38,986 gems 28.81x 2026-11-11 09:53 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) [Chuck](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Chuck) $879 1,353 gems $25.3K 38,986 gems 28.81x 2026-11-10 15:31 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $879 1,353 gems $25.3K 38,986 gems 28.81x 2026-11-09 02:07 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) [Mochi](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Mochi) $879 1,353 gems $25.3K 38,986 gems 28.81x 2026-11-09 00:22 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $879 1,353 gems $25.3K 38,986 gems 28.81x 2026-11-07 01:11 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $879 1,353 gems $25.3K 38,986 gems 28.81x 2026-11-06 00:09 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $879 1,353 gems $25.3K 38,986 gems 28.81x 2026-11-03 22:51 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $879 1,353 gems $25.3K 38,986 gems 28.81x 2026-11-03 05:31 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $879 1,353 gems $9,230 14,200 gems 10.49x 2026-11-11 00:21 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $879 1,353 gems $9,230 14,200 gems 10.49x 2026-11-10 09:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=overdraft-case) [Operation Bravo Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-bravo-case) Hidden $879 1,353 gems $44.19 67.99 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [Operation Bravo Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-bravo-case) Hidden $879 1,353 gems $44.19 67.99 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [Operation Bravo Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-bravo-case) Hidden $879 1,353 gems $44.19 67.99 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [Operation Bravo Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-bravo-case) Hidden $879 1,353 gems $44.19 67.99 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $879 1,353 gems $3,100 4,769 gems 3.52x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [Operation Bravo Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-bravo-case) [Hydrarewards.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Hydrarewards.com) $879 1,353 gems $44.19 67.99 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:58 UTC [Operation Bravo Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-bravo-case) Hidden $879 1,353 gems $44.19 67.99 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:53 UTC [Operation Bravo Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-bravo-case) Hidden $879 1,353 gems $44.19 67.99 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:53 UTC [Operation Bravo Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-bravo-case) Hidden $879 1,353 gems $44.19 67.99 gems 0.05x 2026-11-11 09:53 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $879 1,353 gems $25.3K 38,986 gems 28.81x 2026-11-11 09:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $879 | 90.00% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 1.0% contraband 2.0% covert 7.0% other 10.0% base 80.0% best hit $25.3K (28.81x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt