--- title: "Pandemic case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Pandemic ($36.92) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 7 items with odds, observed 94.05% over 374 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pandemic rendered: 2026-11-11T16:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Pandemic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pandemic) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Pandemic A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pandemic?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pandemic?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pandemic) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pandemic?window=all) Price · $36.92 · 56.8 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $33.22 from 7 items Observed RTP, 30d · 94.05% · 374 openings, odds method Variance · 2.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 66 openings · below min 7 days · 90.37% ±19.63 273 openings 30 days · 94.05% ±16.77 374 openings since tracking started · 94.05% ±16.77 374 openings 55.0% 95.5% 136.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pandemic?window=24h) | 66 | 95.34% ±39.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pandemic?window=7d) | 273 | 90.37% ±19.6 | +0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pandemic) | 374 | 94.05% ±16.8 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pandemic?window=all) | 374 | 94.05% ±16.8 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 392 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 15.0% | $175 270 gems | 79.2% | 63 | 58.8 | 1.07× | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $37.72 58.03 gems | 17.0% | 61 | 58.8 | 1.04× | | [MP9 \| Airlock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-factory-new) | 10.0% | $4.34 6.68 gems | 1.3% | 41 | 39.2 | 1.05× | | [P90 \| Virus (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-factory-new) | 10.0% | $3.28 5.05 gems | 1.0% | 40 | 39.2 | 1.02× | | [Tec-9 \| Toxic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-toxic-factory-new) | 10.0% | $3.19 4.9 gems | 1.0% | 28 | 39.2 | 0.71× | | [XM1014 \| Zombie Offensive (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-zombie-offensive-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.55 0.85 gems | 0.3% | 84 | 78.4 | 1.07× | | [FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.25 0.39 gems | 0.2% | 75 | 78.4 | 0.96× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=pandemic) [FAMAS | Survivor Z (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-factory-new) Hidden $36.92 56.8 gems $0.25 0.39 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-zombie-offensive-factory-new) Hidden $36.92 56.8 gems $0.55 0.85 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-factory-new) Hidden $36.92 56.8 gems $4.34 6.68 gems 0.12x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [P90 | Virus (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-factory-new) Hidden $36.92 56.8 gems $3.28 5.05 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-factory-new) Hidden $36.92 56.8 gems $4.34 6.68 gems 0.12x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) [FarelEnergy skinbet.gg](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/FarelEnergy%20skinbet.gg) $36.92 56.8 gems $37.72 58.03 gems 1.02x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC [XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-zombie-offensive-factory-new) Hidden $36.92 56.8 gems $0.55 0.85 gems 0.01x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.92 56.8 gems $37.72 58.03 gems 1.02x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [Tec-9 | Toxic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-toxic-factory-new) Hidden $36.92 56.8 gems $3.19 4.9 gems 0.09x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.92 56.8 gems $37.72 58.03 gems 1.02x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $36.92 | 89.99% | 7 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 15.0% classified 25.0% violet 30.0% mil spec 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt