--- title: "Para case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Para ($37.88) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 84.49% over 538 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/para rendered: 2026-11-11T19:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Para](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/para) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Para A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/para?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/para?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/para) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/para?window=all) Price · $37.88 · 58.27 gems Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $34.09 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.49% · 538 openings, odds method Variance · 5.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 62.80% ±43.50 108 openings 7 days · 82.69% ±21.50 442 openings 30 days · 84.49% ±19.49 538 openings since tracking started · 84.49% ±19.49 538 openings 18.5% 62.8% 107.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/para?window=24h) | 108 | 62.80% ±43.5 | −1.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/para?window=7d) | 442 | 82.69% ±21.5 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/para) | 538 | 84.49% ±19.5 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/para?window=all) | 538 | 84.49% ±19.5 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 544 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $824 1,268 gems | 19.3% | 3 | 4.4 | 0.69× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $262 403 gems | 7.7% | 10 | 5.4 | 1.84× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $224 344 gems | 13.1% | 6 | 10.9 | 0.55× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $172 265 gems | 12.6% | 14 | 13.6 | 1.03× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Vanilla knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-vanilla) | 1 in 33 | $101 156 gems | 8.9% | 13 | 16.3 | 0.80× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $74.75 115 gems | 11.0% | 33 | 27.2 | 1.21× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $70.69 109 gems | 11.8% | 27 | 31.0 | 0.87× | | [USP-S \| Para Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-para-green-factory-new) | 30.0% | $13.83 21.28 gems | 12.2% | 154 | 163.2 | 0.94× | | [SSG 08 \| Parallax (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-field-tested) | 50.0% | $2.27 3.49 gems | 3.3% | 284 | 272.0 | 1.04× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $37.88 58.27 gems $824 1,268 gems 21.76x 2026-11-10 07:59 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $37.88 58.27 gems $824 1,268 gems 21.76x 2026-11-07 00:52 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $37.88 58.27 gems $824 1,268 gems 21.76x 2026-11-04 19:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=para) [★ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) Hidden $37.88 58.27 gems $74.75 115 gems 1.97x 2026-11-11 19:13 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-urban-masked-well-worn) Hidden $37.88 58.27 gems $74.75 115 gems 1.97x 2026-11-11 19:13 UTC [SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-field-tested) Hidden $37.88 58.27 gems $2.27 3.49 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:13 UTC [SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-field-tested) Hidden $37.88 58.27 gems $2.27 3.49 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:13 UTC [SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-field-tested) Hidden $37.88 58.27 gems $2.27 3.49 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:13 UTC [SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-field-tested) [helix](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/helix) $37.88 58.27 gems $2.27 3.49 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:13 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $37.88 58.27 gems $172 265 gems 4.55x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-field-tested) Hidden $37.88 58.27 gems $2.27 3.49 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $37.88 58.27 gems $172 265 gems 4.55x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [SSG 08 | Parallax (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-field-tested) Hidden $37.88 58.27 gems $2.27 3.49 gems 0.06x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $37.88 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Immortal 0.8% #ffd700 1.0% epic 2.0% rare 2.5% other 3.0% covert knife 10.7% industrial 30.0% #8847ff 50.0% best hit $824 (21.76x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt