--- title: "Pawn Shop case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Pawn Shop ($10.93) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 11 items with odds, observed 80.00% over 1,272 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pawn-shop rendered: 2026-11-11T19:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Pawn Shop](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pawn-shop) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Pawn Shop A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pawn-shop?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pawn-shop?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pawn-shop) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pawn-shop?window=all) Price · $10.93 · 16.81 gems Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $9.83 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 80.00% · 1,272 openings, odds method Variance · 6.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 92.74% ±33.67 212 openings 7 days · 83.19% ±15.07 1,058 openings 30 days · 80.00% ±13.75 1,272 openings since tracking started · 80.00% ±13.75 1,272 openings 58.5% 92.8% 127.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pawn-shop?window=24h) | 212 | 92.74% ±33.7 | +0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pawn-shop?window=7d) | 1,058 | 83.19% ±15.1 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pawn-shop) | 1,272 | 80.00% ±13.7 | −1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pawn-shop?window=all) | 1,272 | 80.00% ±13.7 | −1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,272 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $482 741 gems | 4.9% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 1 in 200 | $274 421 gems | 13.9% | 5 | 6.4 | 0.79× | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $124 191 gems | 12.6% | 9 | 12.7 | 0.71× | | [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $35.99 55.37 gems | 11.0% | 41 | 38.2 | 1.07× | | [USP-S \| Stainless (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $17.03 26.2 gems | 8.7% | 55 | 63.6 | 0.86× | | [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $11.81 18.17 gems | 6.0% | 68 | 63.6 | 1.07× | | [Nova \| Antique (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $8.29 12.75 gems | 6.7% | 112 | 100.5 | 1.11× | | [Tec-9 \| Brass (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brass-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $5.73 8.81 gems | 5.8% | 119 | 127.2 | 0.94× | | [Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) | 12.5% | $4.83 7.43 gems | 6.1% | 152 | 159.0 | 0.96× | | [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-factory-new) | 25.0% | $4.41 6.78 gems | 11.2% | 313 | 318.0 | 0.98× | | [P250 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) | 30.0% | $4.28 6.59 gems | 13.1% | 398 | 381.6 | 1.04× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=pawn-shop) [Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $10.93 16.81 gems $4.83 7.43 gems 0.44x 2026-11-11 18:48 UTC [Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-factory-new) Hidden $10.93 16.81 gems $4.41 6.78 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 18:48 UTC [FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) Hidden $10.93 16.81 gems $11.81 18.17 gems 1.08x 2026-11-11 18:48 UTC [P250 | Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) Hidden $10.93 16.81 gems $4.28 6.59 gems 0.39x 2026-11-11 18:48 UTC [Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $10.93 16.81 gems $4.83 7.43 gems 0.44x 2026-11-11 18:48 UTC [FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) [Boomer IV](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Boomer%20IV) $10.93 16.81 gems $11.81 18.17 gems 1.08x 2026-11-11 18:48 UTC [Nova | Antique (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-factory-new) Hidden $10.93 16.81 gems $8.29 12.75 gems 0.76x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-factory-new) Hidden $10.93 16.81 gems $4.41 6.78 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-factory-new) Hidden $10.93 16.81 gems $4.41 6.78 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC [Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-factory-new) [BMW E39](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/BMW%20E39) $10.93 16.81 gems $4.41 6.78 gems 0.40x 2026-11-11 17:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $10.93 | 89.98% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed rare 0.1% exotic 0.5% covert 31.0% #8847ff 3.0% mil spec 15.0% classified 37.9% restricted 12.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt