--- title: "Peak Performance case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Peak Performance ($28.96) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 8 items with odds, observed 81.26% over 199 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peak-performance rendered: 2026-11-11T13:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Peak Performance](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peak-performance) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Peak Performance A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peak-performance?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peak-performance?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peak-performance) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peak-performance?window=all) Price · $28.96 · 44.56 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $26.06 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.26% · 199 openings, odds method Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 22 openings · below min 7 days · 81.47% ±20.98 171 openings 30 days · 81.26% ±19.45 199 openings since tracking started · 81.26% ±19.45 199 openings 5.0% 64.0% 123.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peak-performance?window=24h) | 22 | 63.98% ±58.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peak-performance?window=7d) | 171 | 81.47% ±21.0 | −0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peak-performance) | 199 | 81.26% ±19.5 | −0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/peak-performance?window=all) | 199 | 81.26% ±19.5 | −0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 223 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| The End (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $156 241 gems | 30.0% | 12 | 11.2 | 1.08× | | [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $110 170 gems | 21.2% | 7 | 11.2 | 0.63× | | [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $78.15 120 gems | 15.0% | 9 | 11.2 | 0.81× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $45.71 70.32 gems | 8.8% | 7 | 11.2 | 0.63× | | [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $22.15 34.08 gems | 8.5% | 22 | 22.3 | 0.99× | | [P90 \| Nostalgia (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-factory-new) | 20.0% | $10.68 16.43 gems | 8.2% | 45 | 44.6 | 1.01× | | [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $5.62 8.65 gems | 5.4% | 59 | 55.8 | 1.06× | | [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $3.11 4.79 gems | 3.0% | 62 | 55.8 | 1.11× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=peak-performance) [AK-47 | Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.96 44.56 gems $3.11 4.79 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC [AK-47 | Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.96 44.56 gems $3.11 4.79 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC [AK-47 | Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.96 44.56 gems $3.11 4.79 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC [AK-47 | Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-battle-scarred) [\*Ajooo\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/*Ajooo*-269066) $28.96 44.56 gems $3.11 4.79 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 13:07 UTC [AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-minimal-wear) Hidden $28.96 44.56 gems $5.62 8.65 gems 0.19x 2026-11-11 05:10 UTC [M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-minimal-wear) Hidden $28.96 44.56 gems $22.15 34.08 gems 0.76x 2026-11-11 05:10 UTC [AWP | The End (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-factory-new) Hidden $28.96 44.56 gems $156 241 gems 5.40x 2026-11-11 05:10 UTC [AK-47 | Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.96 44.56 gems $3.11 4.79 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 05:10 UTC [AK-47 | Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-battle-scarred) Hidden $28.96 44.56 gems $3.11 4.79 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 05:10 UTC [M4A1-S | Stratosphere (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-minimal-wear) [UwUcrusader](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/UwUcrusader) $28.96 44.56 gems $22.15 34.08 gems 0.76x 2026-11-11 05:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $28.96 | 89.99% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Legendary 5.0% covert 5.0% classified 35.0% gold 5.0% Mythical 25.0% #d32ce6 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt