--- title: "Pearly Gates case on Clash.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Pearly Gates ($85.93) on Clash.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 82.95% over 2,276 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pearly-gates rendered: 2026-11-11T18:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) / [Pearly Gates](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pearly-gates) # [Clash.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/clash) · Pearly Gates A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pearly-gates?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pearly-gates?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pearly-gates) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pearly-gates?window=all) Price · $85.93 · 132 gems Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $77.33 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 82.95% · 2,276 openings, odds method Variance · 34.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 105 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 363 openings · below min 7 days · 82.05% ±27.80 1,696 openings 30 days · 82.95% ±23.99 2,276 openings since tracking started · 82.95% ±23.99 2,276 openings 35.5% 96.3% 157.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pearly-gates?window=24h) | 363 | 96.33% ±60.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pearly-gates?window=7d) | 1,696 | 82.05% ±27.8 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pearly-gates) | 2,276 | 82.95% ±24.0 | −0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/clash/pearly-gates?window=all) | 2,276 | 82.95% ±24.0 | −0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,362 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $10.1K 15,493 gems | 13.0% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.85× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $8,124 12,498 gems | 10.5% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.27× | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 400 | $3,651 5,616 gems | 11.8% | 8 | 5.9 | 1.35× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 200 | $2,397 3,688 gems | 15.5% | 14 | 11.8 | 1.19× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 100 | $1,296 1,993 gems | 16.8% | 10 | 23.6 | 0.42× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 67 | $695 1,070 gems | 13.5% | 36 | 35.4 | 1.02× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 65 | $518 797 gems | 10.4% | 39 | 36.6 | 1.07× | | [Desert Eagle \| Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) | 10.0% | $42.26 65.01 gems | 5.5% | 244 | 236.2 | 1.03× | | [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-factory-new) | 15.0% | $9.72 14.96 gems | 1.9% | 343 | 354.3 | 0.97× | | [P250 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $4.19 6.45 gems | 1.1% | 494 | 472.4 | 1.05× | | [M249 \| O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.29 0.45 gems | 0.1% | 501 | 472.4 | 1.06× | | [UMP-45 \| Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-carbon-fiber-factory-new) | 30.0% | $0.08 0.13 gems | 0.0% | 668 | 708.6 | 0.94× | Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `clash:api/cases/details`, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $85.93 132 gems $10.1K 15,493 gems 117.2x 2026-11-06 20:35 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $85.93 132 gems $10.1K 15,493 gems 117.2x 2026-11-03 10:21 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $85.93 132 gems $8,124 12,498 gems 94.54x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [Kick / injee #COMEBACK](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/Kick%20%2F%20injee%20%23COMEBACK) $85.93 132 gems $8,124 12,498 gems 94.54x 2026-11-03 00:16 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $85.93 132 gems $8,124 12,498 gems 94.54x 2026-11-03 00:12 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $85.93 132 gems $3,651 5,616 gems 42.48x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $85.93 132 gems $3,651 5,616 gems 42.48x 2026-11-08 15:36 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $85.93 132 gems $3,651 5,616 gems 42.48x 2026-11-06 22:02 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [xSketchy](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/xSketchy) $85.93 132 gems $3,651 5,616 gems 42.48x 2026-11-05 18:49 UTC [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $85.93 132 gems $3,651 5,616 gems 42.48x 2026-11-05 18:48 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=clash&case=pearly-gates) [AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-factory-new) Hidden $85.93 132 gems $9.72 14.96 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 18:22 UTC [UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-carbon-fiber-factory-new) Hidden $85.93 132 gems $0.08 0.13 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:22 UTC [UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-carbon-fiber-factory-new) Hidden $85.93 132 gems $0.08 0.13 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:22 UTC [M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-factory-new) Hidden $85.93 132 gems $0.29 0.45 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:22 UTC [Desert Eagle | Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) Hidden $85.93 132 gems $42.26 65.01 gems 0.49x 2026-11-11 18:22 UTC [UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-carbon-fiber-factory-new) [HayzeusC](https://gambatracker.com/players/clash/HayzeusC) $85.93 132 gems $0.08 0.13 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:22 UTC [Desert Eagle | Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-factory-new) Hidden $85.93 132 gems $42.26 65.01 gems 0.49x 2026-11-11 18:13 UTC [UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-carbon-fiber-factory-new) Hidden $85.93 132 gems $0.08 0.13 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:13 UTC [M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-factory-new) Hidden $85.93 132 gems $0.29 0.45 gems 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:13 UTC [AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-factory-new) Hidden $85.93 132 gems $9.72 14.96 gems 0.11x 2026-11-11 18:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 02:04 UTC | $85.93 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 5.0% industrial 55.0% classified 20.0% Rare 20.0% best hit $10.1K (117.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt